Saturday, 29/11/2025 at 16:00
Full timeMiddlesbrough 2:1 Derby County
Goals
- 2' Patrick Agyemang Derby County · 0.40 xG chance 0–1
- 75' Matt Targett Middlesbrough · 0.09 xG chance 1–1
- 84' Morgan Whittaker Middlesbrough · 0.01 xG chance 2–1
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 21
- 6
- On target
- 4
- 1
- Inside the box
- 10
- 6
- xG per shot
- 0.07
- 0.15
- Open play xG
- 1.25
- 0.44
- Set-piece xG
- 0.27
- 0.44
- Penalties
- —
- —
Middlesbrough's shots add up to 1.52 xG and Derby County's to 0.89; the published figures are 1.53 and 0.92.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
27 shots · 2.41 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Middlesbrough
- Derby County
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
0.92 xG created 1.02 xGA
- D 0.77 created, 0.68 conceded against Wrexham
- L 0.79 created, 0.92 conceded against Watford
- D 1.27 created, 1.40 conceded against Leicester City
- W 0.61 created, 1.20 conceded against Birmingham City
- D 1.06 created, 0.53 conceded against Oxford United
- L 1.05 created, 1.40 conceded against Coventry City
1.21 xG created 1.17 xGA
- W 1.67 created, 0.38 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
- W 2.15 created, 2.16 conceded against Sheffield United
- W 0.84 created, 1.28 conceded against Hull City
- W 0.95 created, 1.09 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
- L 0.62 created, 1.47 conceded against Watford
- W 1.05 created, 0.63 conceded against Swansea City
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Model details
Show Hide
The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.