xgEdge

Tuesday, 21/10/2025 at 20:45

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Match report · Championship

Derby County 1:0 Norwich City

Derby County Home 0.95 xG · 8 shots
Norwich City Away 1.11 xG · 17 shots
10 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 55' David Ozoh Derby County · 0.10 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Derby County Norwich City
Shots
8
17
On target
3
3
xG per shot
0.11
0.06
Open play xG
0.68
0.68
Set-piece xG
0.24
0.29
Penalties
—
—

Derby County's shots add up to 0.91 xG and Norwich City's to 0.97; the published figures are 0.95 and 1.11.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Derby County · Carlton Morris · 54' · No goal · 8 m · 0.33 xG Derby County · Sondre Langås · 65' · No goal · 4 m · 0.24 xG Norwich City · Liam Gibbs · 3' · No goal · 5 m · 0.14 xG Derby County · Ben Brereton Díaz · 42' · No goal · 9 m · 0.12 xG Derby County · David Ozoh · 55' · Goal · 10 m · 0.10 xG Norwich City · Jovon Makama · 30' · No goal · 10 m · 0.09 xG Norwich City · Oscar Schwartau · 4' · No goal · 13 m · 0.09 xG Norwich City · Josh Sargent · 68' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG Norwich City · Ante Crnac · 78' · No goal · 8 m · 0.07 xG Norwich City · Josh Sargent · 29' · No goal · 15 m · 0.06 xG Norwich City · Pelle Mattsson · 90' · No goal · 11 m · 0.06 xG Norwich City · Liam Gibbs · 49' · No goal · 25 m · 0.06 xG Norwich City · Jakov Medić · 69' · No goal · 5 m · 0.06 xG Norwich City · Oscar Schwartau · 31' · No goal · 7 m · 0.05 xG Norwich City · Mirko Topić · 5' · No goal · 23 m · 0.05 xG Derby County · Patrick Agyemang · 65' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Norwich City · Oscar Schwartau · 3' · No goal · 8 m · 0.04 xG Derby County · Patrick Agyemang · 24' · No goal · 8 m · 0.04 xG Norwich City · Jack Stacey · 38' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Norwich City · Pelle Mattsson · 30' · No goal · 4 m · 0.03 xG Norwich City · Josh Sargent · 40' · No goal · 16 m · 0.03 xG Derby County · Max Johnston · 9' · No goal · 16 m · 0.03 xG Norwich City · Josh Sargent · 47' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Norwich City · Jack Stacey · 74' · No goal · 8 m · 0.02 xG Derby County · Ebou Adams · 90' · No goal · 28 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

25 shots · 1.88 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Derby County
  • Norwich City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Derby County

0.79 xG created 1.13 xGA

  • W 0.32 created, 1.15 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • L 0.34 created, 0.90 conceded against Preston North End
  • D 0.64 created, 0.89 conceded against Wrexham
  • D 1.81 created, 0.60 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • D 1.36 created, 1.06 conceded against Southampton
  • L 0.25 created, 2.17 conceded against Oxford United
Norwich City

1.05 xG created 1.93 xGA

  • D 0.18 created, 3.68 conceded against Coventry City
  • L 2.34 created, 1.30 conceded against Wrexham
  • D 1.32 created, 1.85 conceded against Stoke City
  • L 1.39 created, 0.89 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • L 0.46 created, 1.80 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • L 0.58 created, 2.06 conceded against Bristol City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.