Saturday, 18/10/2025 at 13:30
Full timeOxford United 1:0 Derby County
Goals
- 25' Stanley Mills Oxford United · 0.39 xG chance 1–0
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 19
- 6
- On target
- 7
- 1
- Inside the box
- 13
- 4
- xG per shot
- 0.11
- 0.04
- Open play xG
- 1.86
- 0.09
- Set-piece xG
- 0.29
- 0.13
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.19 for Oxford United and 0.21 for Derby County.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
25 shots · 2.37 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Oxford United
- Derby County
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.29 xG created 1.28 xGA
- D 1.04 created, 1.74 conceded against Coventry City
- D 2.10 created, 0.84 conceded against Leicester City
- W 1.72 created, 1.18 conceded against Bristol City
- L 1.14 created, 0.48 conceded against Sheffield United
- D 0.37 created, 0.80 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
- L 1.38 created, 2.65 conceded against Watford
0.99 xG created 1.25 xGA
- D 1.48 created, 2.91 conceded against Ipswich Town
- W 0.32 created, 1.15 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
- L 0.34 created, 0.90 conceded against Preston North End
- D 0.64 created, 0.89 conceded against Wrexham
- D 1.81 created, 0.60 conceded against Charlton Athletic
- D 1.36 created, 1.06 conceded against Southampton
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.