Derby County 1:1 Portsmouth: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 20/12/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Derby County Home 0.79 xG · 13 shots

Portsmouth Away 0.15 xG · 4 shots

11 Derby County had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

6' Callum Lang Portsmouth · 0.10 xG chance 0–1
45' Hayden Matthews (o.g.) Derby County 1–1

The shots behind it

Derby County Portsmouth

Shots: 13; 4
On target: 7; 1
Inside the box: 8; 2
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.04
Open play xG: 0.36; 0.11
Set-piece xG: 0.43; 0.04
Penalties: —; —

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

17 shots · 0.94 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Derby County
Portsmouth
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Derby County

1.14 xG created 0.99 xGA

L 0.62 created, 1.47 conceded against Watford
W 1.05 created, 0.63 conceded against Swansea City
L 0.92 created, 1.53 conceded against Middlesbrough
L 1.43 created, 1.20 conceded against Leicester City
D 1.20 created, 0.91 conceded against Millwall
W 1.64 created, 0.18 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday

Portsmouth

1.17 xG created 1.37 xGA

L 1.29 created, 2.36 conceded against Hull City
W 1.59 created, 0.44 conceded against Millwall
L 0.08 created, 2.27 conceded against Sheffield United
L 1.47 created, 1.60 conceded against Bristol City
L 0.80 created, 0.82 conceded against Swansea City
W 1.77 created, 0.72 conceded against Blackburn Rovers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.