Hull City 0:0 Watford: xG & match report · Championship

Tuesday, 03/02/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Hull City Home 0.30 xG · 6 shots

Watford Away 0.93 xG · 16 shots

00 Watford had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

Hull City Watford

Shots: 6; 16
On target: 3; 2
Inside the box: 5; 8
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.06
Open play xG: 0.08; 0.62
Set-piece xG: 0.23; 0.32
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.30 for Hull City and 0.93 for Watford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 1.25 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Hull City
Watford
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Hull City

1.16 xG created 1.58 xGA

W 0.29 created, 1.47 conceded against Middlesbrough
L 1.31 created, 1.65 conceded against Stoke City
W 0.62 created, 2.93 conceded against Southampton
W 1.67 created, 0.90 conceded against Preston North End
W 1.62 created, 2.05 conceded against Swansea City
W 1.47 created, 0.50 conceded against Blackburn Rovers

Watford

0.88 xG created 1.20 xGA

W 0.36 created, 0.95 conceded against Norwich City
W 1.56 created, 0.40 conceded against Birmingham City
L 0.54 created, 1.57 conceded against Millwall
D 0.80 created, 0.62 conceded against Portsmouth
D 1.15 created, 0.89 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
L 0.84 created, 2.78 conceded against Swansea City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Hull City: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Watford 2:1 Hull City 27/09/2025 xG 2.82 – 0.86

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.