xgEdge

Saturday, 21/02/2026 at 13:30

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Match report · Championship

Swansea City 1:0 Bristol City

Swansea City Home 0.58 xG · 8 shots
Bristol City Away 0.72 xG · 12 shots
10 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 26' Žan Vipotnik Swansea City · 0.26 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Swansea City Bristol City
Shots
8
12
On target
3
2
Inside the box
6
7
xG per shot
0.08
0.06
Open play xG
0.57
0.60
Set-piece xG
0.04
0.11
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.59 for Swansea City and 0.72 for Bristol City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Bristol City · Delano Burgzorg · 57' · No goal · 9 m · 0.29 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 26' · Goal · 6 m · 0.26 xG Swansea City · Liam Cullen · 90' · No goal · 9 m · 0.10 xG Bristol City · George Earthy · 17' · No goal · 19 m · 0.08 xG Swansea City · Malick Yalcouyé · 84' · No goal · 12 m · 0.06 xG Bristol City · Sinclair Armstrong · 7' · No goal · 3 m · 0.06 xG Bristol City · Sinclair Armstrong · 64' · No goal · 8 m · 0.06 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 16' · No goal · 6 m · 0.06 xG Bristol City · Delano Burgzorg · 9' · No goal · 5 m · 0.05 xG Bristol City · George Earthy · 22' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG Swansea City · Melker Widell · 58' · No goal · 17 m · 0.05 xG Swansea City · Ji-sung Eom · 45' · No goal · 28 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · Noah Eile · 57' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Bristol City · Tomi Horvat · 28' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Jason Knight · 22' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 66' · No goal · 2 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Jason Knight · 48' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Ethan Galbraith · 11' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Emil Riis Jacobsen · 78' · No goal · 17 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · George Tanner · 86' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

20 shots · 1.32 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Swansea City
  • Bristol City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Swansea City

1.72 xG created 0.89 xGA

  • D 1.60 created, 1.02 conceded against Birmingham City
  • W 1.01 created, 0.98 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • L 2.05 created, 1.62 conceded against Hull City
  • W 2.78 created, 0.84 conceded against Watford
  • W 1.87 created, 0.06 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • L 1.00 created, 0.80 conceded against Derby County
Bristol City

1.04 xG created 1.24 xGA

  • D 0.44 created, 1.20 conceded against Oxford United
  • L 0.67 created, 1.08 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • W 2.55 created, 0.71 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • L 0.23 created, 2.00 conceded against Derby County
  • W 1.94 created, 1.39 conceded against Hull City
  • D 0.38 created, 1.07 conceded against Wrexham

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Swansea City: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.