Bristol City 2:0 Middlesbrough: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 20/12/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Bristol City Home 0.90 xG · 13 shots

Middlesbrough Away 2.18 xG · 28 shots

20 The result went against the chances

Goals

17' Emil Riis Jacobsen Bristol City · 0.10 xG chance 1–0
62' Robert Atkinson Bristol City · 0.34 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Bristol City Middlesbrough

Shots: 13; 28
On target: 8; 3
Inside the box: 6; 19
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.62; 1.98
Set-piece xG: 0.36; 0.19
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.96 for Bristol City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

41 shots · 3.15 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Bristol City
Middlesbrough
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bristol City

1.62 xG created 1.36 xGA

W 2.03 created, 0.94 conceded against Swansea City
L 0.90 created, 0.99 conceded against Wrexham
W 1.60 created, 1.47 conceded against Portsmouth
L 1.44 created, 0.97 conceded against Millwall
D 2.42 created, 1.69 conceded against Leicester City
L 1.34 created, 2.11 conceded against Coventry City

Middlesbrough

1.32 xG created 0.91 xGA

D 1.06 created, 0.53 conceded against Oxford United
L 1.05 created, 1.40 conceded against Coventry City
W 1.53 created, 0.92 conceded against Derby County
W 1.29 created, 1.04 conceded against Hull City
W 0.72 created, 0.26 conceded against Charlton Athletic
W 2.29 created, 1.30 conceded against Queens Park Rangers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.