Bristol City 1:2 Watford: xG & match report · Championship

Friday, 27/02/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Bristol City Home 0.89 xG · 11 shots

Watford Away 0.99 xG · 11 shots

12 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

7' Luca Kjerrumgaard Watford · 0.26 xG chance 0–1
36' Scott Twine Bristol City · 0.32 xG chance 1–1
77' Jeremy Ngakia Watford · 0.04 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Bristol City Watford

Shots: 11; 11
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 6; 5
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.53; 0.90
Set-piece xG: 0.39; 0.09
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.89 for Bristol City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 1.90 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Bristol City
Watford
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bristol City

1.10 xG created 1.33 xGA

W 2.55 created, 0.71 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
L 0.23 created, 2.00 conceded against Derby County
W 1.94 created, 1.39 conceded against Hull City
D 0.38 created, 1.07 conceded against Wrexham
L 0.72 created, 0.58 conceded against Swansea City
W 0.78 created, 2.20 conceded against Blackburn Rovers

Watford

1.06 xG created 1.05 xGA

L 0.84 created, 2.78 conceded against Swansea City
D 0.93 created, 0.30 conceded against Hull City
L 0.68 created, 0.80 conceded against Southampton
D 0.91 created, 0.65 conceded against Preston North End
W 1.29 created, 0.65 conceded against Derby County
L 1.68 created, 1.12 conceded against Ipswich Town

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Bristol City: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Watford 1:1 Bristol City 07/11/2025 xG 1.39 – 0.77

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.