Middlesbrough 3:1 Queens Park Rangers: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 13/12/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Middlesbrough Home 2.29 xG · 18 shots

Queens Park Rangers Away 1.30 xG · 13 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

30' David Strelec Middlesbrough · 0.33 xG chance 1–0
36' Morgan Whittaker Middlesbrough · 0.08 xG chance 2–0
50' Tommy Conway (pen.) Middlesbrough · 0.82 xG chance 3–0
70' Nicolas Madsen (pen.) Queens Park Rangers · 0.82 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Middlesbrough Queens Park Rangers

Shots: 18; 13
On target: 7; 5
Inside the box: 13; 8
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.10
Open play xG: 1.13; 0.24
Set-piece xG: 0.35; 0.23
Penalties: 1; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.50 for Middlesbrough and 0.47 for Queens Park Rangers.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 3.59 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Middlesbrough
Queens Park Rangers
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Middlesbrough

1.04 xG created 0.89 xGA

W 0.61 created, 1.20 conceded against Birmingham City
D 1.06 created, 0.53 conceded against Oxford United
L 1.05 created, 1.40 conceded against Coventry City
W 1.53 created, 0.92 conceded against Derby County
W 1.29 created, 1.04 conceded against Hull City
W 0.72 created, 0.26 conceded against Charlton Athletic

Queens Park Rangers

1.52 xG created 1.08 xGA

D 0.65 created, 1.41 conceded against Sheffield United
W 3.02 created, 1.12 conceded against Hull City
W 0.92 created, 0.86 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
L 1.02 created, 1.31 conceded against Norwich City
W 2.00 created, 1.48 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
W 1.51 created, 0.31 conceded against Birmingham City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.