Millwall 2:0 Oxford United: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 02/05/2026 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Millwall Home 2.14 xG · 22 shots

Oxford United Away 1.09 xG · 4 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

34' Femi Azeez Millwall · 0.11 xG chance 1–0
48' Femi Azeez Millwall · 0.22 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Millwall Oxford United

Shots: 22; 4
On target: 8; 1
Inside the box: 15; 4
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.23
Open play xG: 1.07; 0.91
Set-piece xG: 0.86; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.91 for Millwall and 0.91 for Oxford United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 2.83 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Millwall
Oxford United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Millwall

1.37 xG created 1.47 xGA

W 0.79 created, 3.12 conceded against Middlesbrough
L 0.92 created, 2.19 conceded against Norwich City
D 1.10 created, 1.35 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
W 1.53 created, 0.14 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
W 1.82 created, 1.00 conceded against Stoke City
D 2.03 created, 1.00 conceded against Leicester City

Oxford United

1.73 xG created 0.97 xGA

D 3.44 created, 0.82 conceded against Hull City
D 1.35 created, 0.93 conceded against Portsmouth
W 1.86 created, 0.81 conceded against Watford
L 0.67 created, 1.03 conceded against Derby County
L 0.80 created, 1.28 conceded against Wrexham
W 2.28 created, 0.97 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Millwall: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Oxford United 2:2 Millwall 01/11/2025 xG 0.63 – 2.42

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.