xgEdge

Wednesday, 02/09/2026 at 20:45

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Match report · Championship

Millwall 0:3 Wrexham

Millwall Home 0.23 xG · 4 shots
Wrexham Away 0.88 xG · 10 shots
03 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 28' Zak Sturge (o.g.) Wrexham 0–1
  2. 52' Kieffer Moore Wrexham · 0.06 xG chance 0–2
  3. 69' Jacques Ekomié Wrexham · 0.08 xG chance 0–3

The shots behind it

Millwall Wrexham
Shots
4
10
On target
0
4
Inside the box
1
8
xG per shot
0.06
0.09
Open play xG
0.16
0.81
Set-piece xG
0.09
0.08
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.24 for Millwall.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Wrexham · Lewis O'Brien · 52' · No goal · 14 m · 0.34 xG Wrexham · Lewis O'Brien · 77' · No goal · 14 m · 0.16 xG Millwall · Mark Sykes · 11' · No goal · 12 m · 0.09 xG Millwall · Jenson Metcalfe · 38' · No goal · 24 m · 0.09 xG Wrexham · Jacques Ekomié · 69' · Goal · 13 m · 0.08 xG Wrexham · Josh Windass · 19' · No goal · 13 m · 0.08 xG Wrexham · Max Cleworth · 86' · No goal · 7 m · 0.07 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 52' · Goal · 23 m · 0.06 xG Wrexham · Ryan Longman · 77' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG Millwall · Lyndon Dykes · 45' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Wrexham · Daniel Imray · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Millwall · Casper De Norre · 35' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Wrexham · Max Cleworth · 10' · No goal · 8 m · 0.01 xG Wrexham · Zak Sturge · 28' · Goal · 10 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

14 shots · 1.12 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Millwall
  • Wrexham
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Millwall

2.24 xG created 1.38 xGA

  • W 1.82 created, 1.00 conceded against Stoke City
  • D 2.03 created, 1.00 conceded against Leicester City
  • W 2.14 created, 1.09 conceded against Oxford United
  • W 3.40 created, 0.52 conceded against Bristol City
  • W 2.69 created, 1.02 conceded against Norwich City
  • L 1.35 created, 3.62 conceded against Southampton
Wrexham

1.50 xG created 1.28 xGA

  • W 1.28 created, 0.80 conceded against Oxford United
  • L 1.25 created, 1.58 conceded against Coventry City
  • D 1.70 created, 2.12 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • D 1.43 created, 0.90 conceded against Cardiff City
  • D 1.92 created, 0.65 conceded against Watford
  • L 1.42 created, 1.62 conceded against Birmingham City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.