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Saturday, 29/08/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Southampton 5:1 Millwall

Southampton Home 3.62 xG · 21 shots
Millwall Away 1.35 xG · 14 shots
51 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 15' Mark Sykes Millwall · 0.04 xG chance 0–1
  2. 25' Cyle Larin Southampton · 0.20 xG chance 1–1
  3. 39' Finn Azaz Southampton · 1.00 xG chance 2–1
  4. 55' Leo Scienza (pen.) Southampton · 0.82 xG chance 3–1
  5. 62' Cyle Larin Southampton · 0.20 xG chance 4–1
  6. 86' Tom Fellows Southampton · 0.19 xG chance 5–1

The shots behind it

Southampton Millwall
Shots
21
14
On target
7
5
Inside the box
16
12
xG per shot
0.16
0.08
Open play xG
2.12
0.92
Set-piece xG
0.33
0.19
Penalties
1
0
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.42 for Southampton and 1.09 for Millwall.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Southampton · Finn Azaz · 39' · Goal · 3 m · 1.00 xG Southampton · Leo Scienza · 55' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Millwall · Kyrell Lisbie · 45' · No goal · 7 m · 0.35 xG Southampton · Cyle Larin · 67' · No goal · 10 m · 0.21 xG Southampton · Cyle Larin · 25' · Goal · 8 m · 0.20 xG Southampton · Cyle Larin · 62' · Goal · 16 m · 0.20 xG Southampton · Tom Fellows · 86' · Goal · 11 m · 0.19 xG Millwall · Tairyk Arconte · 12' · No goal · 7 m · 0.14 xG Millwall · Josh Coburn · 7' · No goal · 6 m · 0.12 xG Millwall · Zak Lovelace · 88' · No goal · 9 m · 0.10 xG Southampton · Divin Mubama · 76' · No goal · 9 m · 0.10 xG Millwall · Caleb Taylor · 66' · No goal · 6 m · 0.09 xG Southampton · Cyle Larin · 37' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG Southampton · Divin Mubama · 74' · No goal · 6 m · 0.08 xG Southampton · Finn Azaz · 31' · No goal · 12 m · 0.07 xG Millwall · Zak Lovelace · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.06 xG Southampton · Cyle Larin · 37' · No goal · 15 m · 0.06 xG Millwall · Camiel Neghli · 30' · No goal · 22 m · 0.05 xG Southampton · Cyle Larin · 45' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Southampton · James Bree · 37' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Millwall · Mark Sykes · 15' · Goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Millwall · Kyrell Lisbie · 13' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG Millwall · Josh Coburn · 66' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Millwall · Tairyk Arconte · 2' · No goal · 16 m · 0.03 xG Southampton · Kuryu Matsuki · 42' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Millwall · Elkan Baggott · 80' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Southampton · Ryan Manning · 24' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG Southampton · Leo Scienza · 20' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Southampton · James Bree · 40' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Southampton · James Bree · 74' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Southampton · Keven Schlotterbeck · 45' · No goal · 9 m · 0.02 xG Southampton · James Ward-Prowse · 90' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Southampton · Finn Azaz · 67' · No goal · 6 m · 0.02 xG Millwall · Camiel Neghli · 13' · No goal · 25 m · 0.01 xG Millwall · Caleb Taylor · 52' · No goal · 29 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

35 shots · 4.38 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Southampton
  • Millwall
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Southampton

1.83 xG created 1.28 xGA

  • W 1.19 created, 1.19 conceded against Swansea City
  • D 2.33 created, 0.94 conceded against Bristol City
  • D 1.01 created, 1.92 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • W 2.41 created, 1.91 conceded against Preston North End
  • L 1.71 created, 0.81 conceded against Watford
  • W 2.32 created, 0.93 conceded against Stoke City
Millwall

2.27 xG created 0.80 xGA

  • W 1.53 created, 0.14 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • W 1.82 created, 1.00 conceded against Stoke City
  • D 2.03 created, 1.00 conceded against Leicester City
  • W 2.14 created, 1.09 conceded against Oxford United
  • W 3.40 created, 0.52 conceded against Bristol City
  • W 2.69 created, 1.02 conceded against Norwich City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.