xgEdge

Saturday, 25/10/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Millwall 1:0 Leicester City

Millwall Home 1.51 xG · 9 shots
Leicester City Away 0.76 xG · 12 shots
10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 44' Femi Azeez Millwall · 0.44 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Millwall Leicester City
Shots
9
12
On target
4
3
Inside the box
7
7
xG per shot
0.18
0.06
Open play xG
0.74
0.39
Set-piece xG
0.07
0.39
Penalties
1
0
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.80 for Millwall and 0.76 for Leicester City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Millwall · Mihailo Ivanović · 56' · No goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 44' · Goal · 11 m · 0.44 xG Leicester City · Julián Carranza · 76' · No goal · 9 m · 0.27 xG Leicester City · Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · 3' · No goal · 15 m · 0.13 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 19' · No goal · 10 m · 0.10 xG Leicester City · Caleb Okoli · 54' · No goal · 8 m · 0.09 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 90' · No goal · 19 m · 0.08 xG Leicester City · Aaron Ramsey · 10' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Millwall · Casper De Norre · 12' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 12' · No goal · 6 m · 0.05 xG Leicester City · Patson Daka · 90' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 73' · No goal · 16 m · 0.04 xG Leicester City · Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · 39' · No goal · 26 m · 0.04 xG Leicester City · Aaron Ramsey · 20' · No goal · 8 m · 0.04 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 59' · No goal · 22 m · 0.04 xG Leicester City · Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · 15' · No goal · 8 m · 0.03 xG Leicester City · Jordan James · 81' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG Leicester City · Jordan James · 88' · No goal · 9 m · 0.03 xG Millwall · Casper De Norre · 18' · No goal · 16 m · 0.02 xG Leicester City · Aaron Ramsey · 43' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Leicester City · Caleb Okoli · 9' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

21 shots · 2.41 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Millwall
  • Leicester City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Millwall

1.13 xG created 1.40 xGA

  • W 0.70 created, 0.73 conceded against Watford
  • D 0.88 created, 1.34 conceded against Swansea City
  • L 1.33 created, 3.60 conceded against Coventry City
  • W 0.77 created, 0.42 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • W 1.64 created, 1.87 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • W 1.48 created, 0.44 conceded against Stoke City
Leicester City

1.29 xG created 1.20 xGA

  • D 1.22 created, 0.41 conceded against Coventry City
  • D 0.94 created, 1.64 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • D 1.07 created, 0.91 conceded against Wrexham
  • W 1.65 created, 1.84 conceded against Swansea City
  • D 1.38 created, 0.86 conceded against Portsmouth
  • L 1.48 created, 1.52 conceded against Hull City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.