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Saturday, 18/10/2025 at 13:30

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Match report · Championship

Queens Park Rangers 1:2 Millwall

Queens Park Rangers Home 1.87 xG · 20 shots
Millwall Away 1.64 xG · 5 shots
12 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 36' Femi Azeez Millwall · 0.44 xG chance 0–1
  2. 45' Mihailo Ivanović Millwall · 0.49 xG chance 0–2
  3. 85' Rumarn Burrell Queens Park Rangers · 0.95 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Queens Park Rangers Millwall
Shots
20
5
On target
3
5
Inside the box
13
4
xG per shot
0.10
0.38
Open play xG
1.63
1.15
Set-piece xG
0.28
0.73
Penalties
—
—

Queens Park Rangers's shots add up to 1.91 xG and Millwall's to 1.88; the published figures are 1.87 and 1.64.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Queens Park Rangers · Rumarn Burrell · 85' · Goal · 4 m · 0.95 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 35' · No goal · 9 m · 0.66 xG Millwall · Mihailo Ivanović · 45' · Goal · 4 m · 0.49 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 36' · Goal · 7 m · 0.44 xG Queens Park Rangers · Rumarn Burrell · 90' · No goal · 5 m · 0.28 xG Millwall · Tristan Crama · 6' · No goal · 7 m · 0.24 xG Queens Park Rangers · Paul Smyth · 19' · No goal · 13 m · 0.09 xG Queens Park Rangers · Richard Kone · 23' · No goal · 10 m · 0.07 xG Queens Park Rangers · Jimmy Dunne · 78' · No goal · 8 m · 0.06 xG Queens Park Rangers · Rumarn Burrell · 69' · No goal · 2 m · 0.06 xG Queens Park Rangers · Paul Smyth · 1' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Millwall · Will Smallbone · 9' · No goal · 23 m · 0.05 xG Queens Park Rangers · Richard Kone · 83' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Queens Park Rangers · Karamoko Dembélé · 82' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Queens Park Rangers · Steve Cook · 90' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Queens Park Rangers · Karamoko Dembélé · 90' · No goal · 22 m · 0.04 xG Queens Park Rangers · Harvey Vale · 32' · No goal · 18 m · 0.03 xG Queens Park Rangers · Rhys Norrington-Davies · 76' · No goal · 17 m · 0.03 xG Queens Park Rangers · Harvey Vale · 29' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG Queens Park Rangers · Steve Cook · 8' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG Queens Park Rangers · Karamoko Dembélé · 86' · No goal · 10 m · 0.02 xG Queens Park Rangers · Karamoko Dembélé · 90' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Queens Park Rangers · Steve Cook · 79' · No goal · 13 m · 0.01 xG Queens Park Rangers · Karamoko Dembélé · 69' · No goal · 6 m · 0.01 xG Queens Park Rangers · Kieran Morgan · 77' · No goal · 25 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

25 shots · 3.80 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Queens Park Rangers
  • Millwall
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Queens Park Rangers

1.27 xG created 1.16 xGA

  • W 1.43 created, 0.84 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • W 1.43 created, 2.02 conceded against Wrexham
  • W 1.33 created, 1.09 conceded against Stoke City
  • D 2.17 created, 1.41 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • D 0.80 created, 0.37 conceded against Oxford United
  • W 0.48 created, 1.21 conceded against Bristol City
Millwall

1.08 xG created 1.23 xGA

  • L 1.76 created, 0.55 conceded against Wrexham
  • D 1.03 created, 0.73 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • W 0.70 created, 0.73 conceded against Watford
  • D 0.88 created, 1.34 conceded against Swansea City
  • L 1.33 created, 3.60 conceded against Coventry City
  • W 0.77 created, 0.42 conceded against West Bromwich Albion

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.