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Saturday, 18/04/2026 at 13:30

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Match report · Championship

Millwall 2:0 Queens Park Rangers

Millwall Home 1.53 xG · 11 shots
Queens Park Rangers Away 0.14 xG · 5 shots
20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 3' Derek Mazou-Sacko Millwall · 0.04 xG chance 1–0
  2. 17' Camiel Neghli Millwall · 0.07 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Millwall Queens Park Rangers
Shots
11
5
On target
4
1
Inside the box
8
2
xG per shot
0.10
0.03
Open play xG
0.72
0.07
Set-piece xG
0.33
0.06
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.08 for Millwall and 0.13 for Queens Park Rangers.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Millwall · Josh Coburn · 76' · No goal · 4 m · 0.29 xG Millwall · Tristan Crama · 7' · No goal · 6 m · 0.20 xG Millwall · Zak Sturge · 38' · No goal · 3 m · 0.11 xG Millwall · Josh Coburn · 26' · No goal · 6 m · 0.10 xG Millwall · Camiel Neghli · 17' · Goal · 14 m · 0.07 xG Millwall · Thierno Ballo · 66' · No goal · 11 m · 0.06 xG Millwall · Camiel Neghli · 24' · No goal · 15 m · 0.06 xG Millwall · Caleb Taylor · 27' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Queens Park Rangers · Nicolas Madsen · 89' · No goal · 24 m · 0.04 xG Millwall · Tristan Crama · 15' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Millwall · Derek Mazou-Sacko · 3' · Goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Queens Park Rangers · Paul Smyth · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Queens Park Rangers · Rumarn Burrell · 55' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 26' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Queens Park Rangers · Paul Smyth · 9' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG Queens Park Rangers · Ilias Chair · 67' · No goal · 28 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

16 shots · 1.18 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Millwall
  • Queens Park Rangers
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Millwall

1.22 xG created 1.91 xGA

  • W 1.45 created, 1.25 conceded against Derby County
  • L 1.38 created, 2.18 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • D 1.67 created, 1.38 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • W 0.79 created, 3.12 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • L 0.92 created, 2.19 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 1.10 created, 1.35 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
Queens Park Rangers

1.24 xG created 0.91 xGA

  • L 0.37 created, 1.58 conceded against Birmingham City
  • W 1.54 created, 0.42 conceded against Leicester City
  • W 1.63 created, 1.64 conceded against Portsmouth
  • W 2.40 created, 0.34 conceded against Watford
  • D 0.94 created, 0.63 conceded against Preston North End
  • D 0.59 created, 0.83 conceded against Bristol City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Millwall: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.