Stoke City 2:1 Swansea City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 13/12/2025 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Stoke City Home 0.46 xG · 8 shots

Swansea City Away 1.25 xG · 14 shots

21 The result went against the chances

Goals

42' Ben Pearson Stoke City · 0.03 xG chance 1–0
60' Sorba Thomas Stoke City · 0.14 xG chance 2–0
77' Žan Vipotnik Swansea City · 0.32 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Stoke City Swansea City

Shots: 8; 14
On target: 5; 6
Inside the box: 6; 9
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.30; 0.89
Set-piece xG: 0.17; 0.39
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.46 for Stoke City and 1.26 for Swansea City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 1.74 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Stoke City
Swansea City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Stoke City

0.72 xG created 1.20 xGA

L 0.85 created, 0.97 conceded against Coventry City
L 1.37 created, 1.49 conceded against Leicester City
W 0.72 created, 0.18 conceded against Charlton Athletic
L 0.80 created, 1.18 conceded against Hull City
L 0.27 created, 2.43 conceded against Sheffield United
L 0.33 created, 0.93 conceded against Ipswich Town

Swansea City

0.65 xG created 1.40 xGA

L 0.43 created, 1.37 conceded against Ipswich Town
L 0.94 created, 2.03 conceded against Bristol City
L 0.63 created, 1.05 conceded against Derby County
L 0.21 created, 1.73 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
W 0.89 created, 1.41 conceded against Oxford United
W 0.82 created, 0.80 conceded against Portsmouth

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.