Norwich City 2:1 Birmingham City: xG & match report · Championship

Wednesday, 09/09/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Norwich City Home 1.01 xG · 15 shots

Birmingham City Away 1.63 xG · 14 shots

21 The result went against the chances

Goals

28' Oscar Schwartau Norwich City · 0.03 xG chance 1–0
39' Papa Amadou Diallo Norwich City · 0.15 xG chance 2–0
64' Carlos Vicente Birmingham City · 0.27 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Norwich City Birmingham City

Shots: 15; 14
On target: 6; 3
Inside the box: 8; 11
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.13
Open play xG: 0.76; 1.56
Set-piece xG: 0.06; 0.22
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.82 for Norwich City and 1.79 for Birmingham City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 2.60 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Norwich City
Birmingham City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Norwich City

1.96 xG created 1.46 xGA

L 0.97 created, 1.82 conceded against Hull City
L 2.96 created, 1.85 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
L 1.02 created, 2.69 conceded against Millwall
W 2.30 created, 1.38 conceded against Burnley
L 1.44 created, 0.22 conceded against Stoke City
W 3.04 created, 0.79 conceded against Sheffield United

Birmingham City

1.50 xG created 1.23 xGA

D 1.67 created, 0.74 conceded against Portsmouth
D 0.77 created, 0.29 conceded against Sheffield United
D 1.98 created, 1.43 conceded against Bristol City
W 1.62 created, 1.42 conceded against Wrexham
D 1.55 created, 1.02 conceded against Southampton
D 1.39 created, 2.47 conceded against Wolverhampton

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Norwich City: 0 won · 0 drawn · 2 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.