Birmingham City 1:1 Southampton: xG & match report · Championship

Tuesday, 01/09/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Birmingham City Home 1.55 xG · 16 shots

Southampton Away 1.02 xG · 13 shots

11 Birmingham City had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

45' Keven Schlotterbeck Southampton · 0.21 xG chance 0–1
55' August Priske Birmingham City · 0.12 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Birmingham City Southampton

Shots: 16; 13
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 11; 12
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.07
Open play xG: 1.03; 0.37
Set-piece xG: 0.18; 0.56
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.21 for Birmingham City and 0.95 for Southampton.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 2.15 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Birmingham City
Southampton
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Birmingham City

1.63 xG created 1.23 xGA

W 1.95 created, 2.37 conceded against Preston North End
W 1.76 created, 1.13 conceded against Bristol City
D 1.67 created, 0.74 conceded against Portsmouth
D 0.77 created, 0.29 conceded against Sheffield United
D 1.98 created, 1.43 conceded against Bristol City
W 1.62 created, 1.42 conceded against Wrexham

Southampton

2.23 xG created 1.31 xGA

D 2.33 created, 0.94 conceded against Bristol City
D 1.01 created, 1.92 conceded against Ipswich Town
W 2.41 created, 1.91 conceded against Preston North End
L 1.71 created, 0.81 conceded against Watford
W 2.32 created, 0.93 conceded against Stoke City
W 3.62 created, 1.35 conceded against Millwall

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Birmingham City: 0 won · 1 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.