Birmingham City 4:1 Norwich City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 22/11/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Birmingham City Home 3.56 xG · 16 shots

Norwich City Away 1.28 xG · 14 shots

41 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

3' Marvin Ducksch Birmingham City · 0.88 xG chance 1–0
21' Jay Stansfield Birmingham City · 0.28 xG chance 2–0
33' Mathias Kvistgaarden Norwich City · 0.18 xG chance 2–1
44' Marvin Ducksch Birmingham City · 0.93 xG chance 3–1
54' Jay Stansfield Birmingham City · 0.42 xG chance 4–1

The shots behind it

Birmingham City Norwich City

Shots: 16; 14
On target: 6; 6
Inside the box: 11; 10
xG per shot: 0.23; 0.09
Open play xG: 3.64; 1.11
Set-piece xG: 0.10; 0.16
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.70 for Birmingham City and 1.28 for Norwich City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 5.00 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Birmingham City
Norwich City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Birmingham City

1.74 xG created 0.63 xGA

L 2.85 created, 1.15 conceded against Hull City
W 0.83 created, 1.38 conceded against Preston North End
L 0.69 created, 0.27 conceded against Bristol City
W 3.11 created, 0.23 conceded against Portsmouth
W 1.74 created, 0.12 conceded against Millwall
L 1.20 created, 0.61 conceded against Middlesbrough

Norwich City

1.23 xG created 1.40 xGA

L 0.58 created, 2.06 conceded against Bristol City
L 1.11 created, 0.95 conceded against Derby County
L 1.17 created, 0.43 conceded against Swansea City
L 2.52 created, 1.26 conceded against Hull City
D 1.68 created, 2.08 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
L 0.30 created, 1.59 conceded against Leicester City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.