Norwich City 3:4 Bolton Wanderers: xG & match report · Championship

Sunday, 20/09/2026 at 14:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Norwich City Home 0.69 xG · 10 shots

Bolton Wanderers Away 1.10 xG · 8 shots

34 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

5' Mohamed Touré Norwich City · 0.08 xG chance 1–0
8' Thierry Gale Bolton Wanderers · 0.05 xG chance 1–1
19' Ruairi McConville Norwich City · 0.22 xG chance 2–1
42' Gaizka Larrazabal Bolton Wanderers · 0.05 xG chance 2–2
47' Sam Dalby Bolton Wanderers · 0.05 xG chance 2–3
61' Jack Stacey Norwich City · 0.05 xG chance 3–3
72' Atsuki Ito Bolton Wanderers · 0.08 xG chance 3–4

The shots behind it

Norwich City Bolton Wanderers

Shots: 10; 8
On target: 4; 5
Inside the box: 6; 7
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.25; 0.68
Set-piece xG: 0.55; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.78 for Norwich City and 0.68 for Bolton Wanderers.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

18 shots · 1.48 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Norwich City
Bolton Wanderers
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Norwich City

1.74 xG created 1.46 xGA

L 1.02 created, 2.69 conceded against Millwall
W 2.30 created, 1.38 conceded against Burnley
L 1.44 created, 0.22 conceded against Stoke City
W 3.04 created, 0.79 conceded against Sheffield United
W 1.01 created, 1.63 conceded against Birmingham City
L 1.62 created, 2.07 conceded against Middlesbrough

Bolton Wanderers

1.20 xG created 2.00 xGA

D 0.19 created, 1.82 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
L 1.89 created, 1.32 conceded against Lincoln City
L 1.91 created, 2.21 conceded against Sheffield United
L 1.15 created, 2.63 conceded against Millwall
L 1.56 created, 2.22 conceded against West Ham United
W 0.48 created, 1.79 conceded against Cardiff City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.