xgEdge

Saturday, 13/12/2025 at 13:30

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Match report · Championship

Norwich City 2:1 Southampton

Norwich City Home 1.33 xG · 16 shots
Southampton Away 2.12 xG · 12 shots
21 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 48' Jovon Makama Norwich City · 0.27 xG chance 1–0
  2. 57' Ryan Manning Southampton · 0.03 xG chance 1–1
  3. 61' Jovon Makama Norwich City · 0.32 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Norwich City Southampton
Shots
16
12
On target
5
4
Inside the box
9
7
xG per shot
0.08
0.17
Open play xG
1.03
0.37
Set-piece xG
0.31
0.86
Penalties
0
1
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.26 for Southampton.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Southampton · Adam Armstrong · 27' · No goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Southampton · Flynn Downes · 2' · No goal · 4 m · 0.53 xG Norwich City · Jovon Makama · 61' · Goal · 3 m · 0.32 xG Southampton · Adam Armstrong · 59' · No goal · 11 m · 0.31 xG Norwich City · Jovon Makama · 48' · Goal · 5 m · 0.27 xG Norwich City · Jacob Wright · 19' · No goal · 15 m · 0.13 xG Southampton · Leo Scienza · 2' · No goal · 24 m · 0.12 xG Norwich City · Emiliano Marcondes · 81' · No goal · 13 m · 0.11 xG Norwich City · Jovon Makama · 39' · No goal · 9 m · 0.11 xG Norwich City · Forson Amankwah · 47' · No goal · 22 m · 0.07 xG Southampton · Finn Azaz · 7' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Norwich City · Emiliano Marcondes · 89' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG Southampton · Nathan Wood · 7' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Norwich City · Forson Amankwah · 18' · No goal · 22 m · 0.05 xG Norwich City · Jacob Wright · 51' · No goal · 25 m · 0.04 xG Southampton · Nathan Wood · 27' · No goal · 7 m · 0.04 xG Norwich City · Harry Darling · 61' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG Norwich City · Forson Amankwah · 47' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Norwich City · Forson Amankwah · 5' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Southampton · Adam Armstrong · 30' · No goal · 9 m · 0.04 xG Southampton · Ryan Manning · 57' · Goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Norwich City · Forson Amankwah · 52' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG Southampton · Ryan Manning · 79' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Norwich City · Ben Chrisene · 16' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Southampton · Finn Azaz · 10' · No goal · 32 m · 0.02 xG Southampton · Leo Scienza · 44' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Norwich City · Harry Darling · 48' · No goal · 13 m · 0.01 xG Norwich City · Pelle Mattsson · 53' · No goal · 26 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

28 shots · 3.39 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Norwich City
  • Southampton
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Norwich City

1.24 xG created 1.86 xGA

  • L 0.30 created, 1.59 conceded against Leicester City
  • L 1.28 created, 3.56 conceded against Birmingham City
  • D 1.42 created, 0.82 conceded against Oxford United
  • W 1.31 created, 1.02 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • L 1.88 created, 1.28 conceded against Watford
  • D 1.26 created, 2.90 conceded against Sheffield United
Southampton

2.05 xG created 1.18 xGA

  • W 1.03 created, 0.81 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • W 4.63 created, 0.67 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • W 2.41 created, 0.44 conceded against Leicester City
  • L 1.20 created, 1.83 conceded against Millwall
  • W 2.08 created, 2.01 conceded against Birmingham City
  • W 0.97 created, 1.34 conceded against West Bromwich Albion

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.