xgEdge

Wednesday, 11/03/2026 at 20:45

Full time
Match report · Championship

Oxford United 1:0 Blackburn Rovers

Oxford United Home 1.16 xG · 14 shots
Blackburn Rovers Away 0.45 xG · 10 shots
10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 34' Jamie Donley Oxford United · 0.21 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Oxford United Blackburn Rovers
Shots
14
10
On target
7
2
Inside the box
8
8
xG per shot
0.09
0.05
Open play xG
0.84
0.09
Set-piece xG
0.37
0.36
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.20 for Oxford United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Oxford United · Ciaron Brown · 56' · No goal · 3 m · 0.25 xG Oxford United · Myles Peart-Harris · 34' · No goal · 8 m · 0.22 xG Oxford United · Jamie Donley · 34' · Goal · 7 m · 0.21 xG Oxford United · Jamie Donley · 33' · No goal · 5 m · 0.16 xG Oxford United · Myles Peart-Harris · 56' · No goal · 17 m · 0.11 xG Blackburn Rovers · Ryoya Morishita · 86' · No goal · 10 m · 0.10 xG Blackburn Rovers · Eiran Cashin · 47' · No goal · 8 m · 0.09 xG Oxford United · Michał Helik · 24' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Blackburn Rovers · Eiran Cashin · 86' · No goal · 11 m · 0.06 xG Blackburn Rovers · Moussa Baradji · 54' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Blackburn Rovers · Dion De Neve · 44' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Blackburn Rovers · Moussa Baradji · 44' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Oxford United · Stanley Mills · 23' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Oxford United · Will Lankshear · 51' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Oxford United · Cameron Brannagan · 29' · No goal · 29 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Michał Helik · 90' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 85' · No goal · 11 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Jamie Donley · 30' · No goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Michał Helik · 31' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG Blackburn Rovers · Ryan Alebiosu · 83' · No goal · 12 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Cameron Brannagan · 62' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Blackburn Rovers · Eiran Cashin · 86' · No goal · 10 m · 0.01 xG Oxford United · Stanley Mills · 17' · No goal · 25 m · 0.01 xG Blackburn Rovers · Taylor Gardner-Hickman · 85' · No goal · 25 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

24 shots · 1.66 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Oxford United
  • Blackburn Rovers
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Oxford United

0.89 xG created 1.67 xGA

  • D 0.12 created, 2.09 conceded against Coventry City
  • L 0.44 created, 2.31 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 0.82 created, 2.15 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • L 1.46 created, 1.51 conceded against Stoke City
  • W 0.75 created, 1.04 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • W 1.74 created, 0.93 conceded against Preston North End
Blackburn Rovers

1.15 xG created 1.04 xGA

  • L 0.26 created, 1.57 conceded against Norwich City
  • W 1.52 created, 1.72 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • W 1.06 created, 0.12 conceded against Preston North End
  • L 2.20 created, 0.78 conceded against Bristol City
  • L 0.65 created, 1.44 conceded against Derby County
  • D 1.20 created, 0.62 conceded against Portsmouth

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Oxford United: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.