xgEdge

Saturday, 06/12/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Swansea City 2:0 Oxford United

Swansea City Home 0.89 xG · 15 shots
Oxford United Away 1.41 xG · 12 shots
20 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 40' Marko Stamenić Swansea City · 0.15 xG chance 1–0
  2. 45' Josh Tymon Swansea City · 0.03 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Swansea City Oxford United
Shots
15
12
On target
4
4
Inside the box
9
7
xG per shot
0.06
0.12
Open play xG
0.28
0.68
Set-piece xG
0.61
0.76
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.41 for Oxford United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Oxford United · Michał Helik · 54' · No goal · 5 m · 0.47 xG Oxford United · Will Lankshear · 66' · No goal · 3 m · 0.39 xG Swansea City · Ben Cabango · 11' · No goal · 4 m · 0.17 xG Oxford United · Ciaron Brown · 29' · No goal · 4 m · 0.17 xG Swansea City · Marko Stamenić · 40' · Goal · 3 m · 0.15 xG Oxford United · Ole Romeny · 87' · No goal · 12 m · 0.13 xG Swansea City · Ji-sung Eom · 59' · No goal · 19 m · 0.08 xG Swansea City · Liam Cullen · 82' · No goal · 22 m · 0.08 xG Swansea City · Ethan Galbraith · 38' · No goal · 20 m · 0.07 xG Oxford United · Will Lankshear · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.06 xG Swansea City · Ben Cabango · 67' · No goal · 10 m · 0.06 xG Oxford United · Stanley Mills · 9' · No goal · 14 m · 0.06 xG Oxford United · Filip Krastev · 51' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Oxford United · Brian De Keersmaecker · 62' · No goal · 26 m · 0.05 xG Swansea City · Ethan Galbraith · 80' · No goal · 4 m · 0.05 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 65' · No goal · 4 m · 0.04 xG Swansea City · Ji-sung Eom · 48' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Swansea City · Marko Stamenić · 65' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Brian De Keersmaecker · 88' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG Swansea City · Josh Tymon · 45' · Goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG Swansea City · Josh Tymon · 9' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Will Lankshear · 74' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 18' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Swansea City · Ethan Galbraith · 76' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Brian De Keersmaecker · 90' · No goal · 29 m · 0.01 xG Oxford United · Will Vaulks · 45' · No goal · 28 m · 0.01 xG Swansea City · Josh Tymon · 45' · No goal · 16 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

27 shots · 2.33 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Swansea City
  • Oxford United
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Swansea City

0.60 xG created 1.30 xGA

  • D 0.71 created, 0.93 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • L 0.69 created, 0.71 conceded against Preston North End
  • L 0.43 created, 1.37 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • L 0.94 created, 2.03 conceded against Bristol City
  • L 0.63 created, 1.05 conceded against Derby County
  • L 0.21 created, 1.73 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
Oxford United

0.99 xG created 1.73 xGA

  • D 0.63 created, 2.42 conceded against Millwall
  • L 1.78 created, 2.19 conceded against Stoke City
  • L 0.95 created, 1.61 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • D 0.53 created, 1.06 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • D 0.82 created, 1.42 conceded against Norwich City
  • W 1.24 created, 1.70 conceded against Ipswich Town

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.