xgEdge

Friday, 26/12/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Oxford United 2:1 Southampton

Oxford United Home 0.91 xG · 17 shots
Southampton Away 1.44 xG · 19 shots
21 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 23' Tyler Goodrham Oxford United · 0.04 xG chance 1–0
  2. 29' Taylor Harwood-Bellis Southampton · 0.16 xG chance 1–1
  3. 89' Stanley Mills Oxford United · 0.17 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Oxford United Southampton
Shots
17
19
On target
6
5
Inside the box
7
14
xG per shot
0.06
0.08
Open play xG
0.70
1.04
Set-piece xG
0.26
0.39
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.97 for Oxford United and 1.44 for Southampton.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Southampton · Adam Armstrong · 78' · No goal · 4 m · 0.38 xG Oxford United · Stanley Mills · 89' · Goal · 11 m · 0.17 xG Southampton · Taylor Harwood-Bellis · 29' · Goal · 9 m · 0.16 xG Oxford United · Filip Krastev · 72' · No goal · 15 m · 0.13 xG Oxford United · Nik Prelec · 47' · No goal · 6 m · 0.13 xG Southampton · Leo Scienza · 44' · No goal · 13 m · 0.12 xG Oxford United · Przemysław Płacheta · 43' · No goal · 9 m · 0.11 xG Southampton · Caspar Jander · 60' · No goal · 10 m · 0.11 xG Southampton · Cameron Archer · 88' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG Oxford United · Nik Prelec · 58' · No goal · 12 m · 0.08 xG Southampton · Jay Robinson · 88' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG Southampton · Nathan Wood · 63' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Southampton · Adam Armstrong · 65' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Southampton · Leo Scienza · 45' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Southampton · Adam Armstrong · 14' · No goal · 12 m · 0.05 xG Southampton · Finn Azaz · 20' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Oxford United · Przemysław Płacheta · 75' · No goal · 24 m · 0.04 xG Southampton · Finn Azaz · 83' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Southampton · Ryan Manning · 84' · No goal · 27 m · 0.04 xG Oxford United · Ciaron Brown · 22' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG Oxford United · Tyler Goodrham · 23' · Goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Oxford United · Przemysław Płacheta · 52' · No goal · 25 m · 0.04 xG Oxford United · Stanley Mills · 35' · No goal · 3 m · 0.04 xG Southampton · Finn Azaz · 78' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Oxford United · Brian De Keersmaecker · 77' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Southampton · Caspar Jander · 16' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG Southampton · Jay Robinson · 66' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Brian De Keersmaecker · 33' · No goal · 28 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Brian De Keersmaecker · 41' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Southampton · Finn Azaz · 62' · No goal · 16 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Stanley Mills · 40' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Przemysław Płacheta · 47' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Stanley Mills · 47' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Luke Harris · 4' · No goal · 26 m · 0.01 xG Southampton · Flynn Downes · 13' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG Southampton · Leo Scienza · 55' · No goal · 28 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

36 shots · 2.39 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Oxford United
  • Southampton
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Oxford United

0.99 xG created 1.28 xGA

  • D 0.82 created, 1.42 conceded against Norwich City
  • W 1.24 created, 1.70 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • L 1.41 created, 0.89 conceded against Swansea City
  • D 0.29 created, 2.28 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • L 1.57 created, 0.61 conceded against Preston North End
  • L 0.61 created, 0.77 conceded against Charlton Athletic
Southampton

1.68 xG created 1.24 xGA

  • W 2.41 created, 0.44 conceded against Leicester City
  • L 1.20 created, 1.83 conceded against Millwall
  • W 2.08 created, 2.01 conceded against Birmingham City
  • W 0.97 created, 1.34 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • L 2.12 created, 1.33 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 1.32 created, 0.48 conceded against Coventry City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.