xgEdge

Tuesday, 04/11/2025 at 20:45

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Match report · Championship

Birmingham City 4:0 Millwall

Birmingham City Home 1.74 xG · 12 shots
Millwall Away 0.12 xG · 4 shots
40 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 28' Seung Ho Paik Birmingham City · 0.07 xG chance 1–0
  2. 45' Demarai Gray Birmingham City · 0.25 xG chance 2–0
  3. 49' Alex Cochrane Birmingham City · 0.05 xG chance 3–0
  4. 66' Jay Stansfield Birmingham City · 0.71 xG chance 4–0

The shots behind it

Birmingham City Millwall
Shots
12
4
On target
6
2
Inside the box
8
1
xG per shot
0.15
0.03
Open play xG
1.75
0.10
Set-piece xG
0.02
0.03
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.74 for Birmingham City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Birmingham City · Jay Stansfield · 66' · Goal · 8 m · 0.71 xG Birmingham City · Kyogo Furuhashi · 74' · No goal · 12 m · 0.26 xG Birmingham City · Demarai Gray · 45' · Goal · 8 m · 0.25 xG Birmingham City · Kyogo Furuhashi · 74' · No goal · 8 m · 0.16 xG Birmingham City · Seung Ho Paik · 28' · Goal · 14 m · 0.07 xG Birmingham City · Patrick Roberts · 53' · No goal · 14 m · 0.07 xG Birmingham City · Jay Stansfield · 27' · No goal · 16 m · 0.07 xG Birmingham City · Alex Cochrane · 49' · Goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG Millwall · Joe Bryan · 8' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Birmingham City · Keshi Anderson · 64' · No goal · 7 m · 0.05 xG Millwall · Derek Mazou-Sacko · 82' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Birmingham City · Tommy Doyle · 2' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Birmingham City · Demarai Gray · 16' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Millwall · Luke Cundle · 18' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Birmingham City · Christoph Klarer · 53' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Millwall · Camiel Neghli · 41' · No goal · 28 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

16 shots · 1.89 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Birmingham City
  • Millwall
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Birmingham City

1.72 xG created 0.86 xGA

  • D 1.47 created, 0.42 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • D 1.36 created, 1.74 conceded against Wrexham
  • L 2.85 created, 1.15 conceded against Hull City
  • W 0.83 created, 1.38 conceded against Preston North End
  • L 0.69 created, 0.27 conceded against Bristol City
  • W 3.11 created, 0.23 conceded against Portsmouth
Millwall

1.53 xG created 1.29 xGA

  • L 1.33 created, 3.60 conceded against Coventry City
  • W 0.77 created, 0.42 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • W 1.64 created, 1.87 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • W 1.48 created, 0.44 conceded against Stoke City
  • W 1.51 created, 0.76 conceded against Leicester City
  • D 2.42 created, 0.63 conceded against Oxford United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.