Wrexham 1:2 Hull City: xG & match report · Championship

Tuesday, 10/03/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Wrexham Home 1.14 xG · 10 shots

Hull City Away 1.54 xG · 12 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

40' Joe Gelhardt Hull City · 0.04 xG chance 0–1
63' Lewis Koumas Hull City · 0.03 xG chance 0–2
76' Nathan Broadhead Wrexham · 0.51 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Wrexham Hull City

Shots: 10; 12
On target: 2; 5
Inside the box: 5; 6
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.13
Open play xG: 0.81; 0.56
Set-piece xG: 0.31; 0.22
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.14 for Wrexham and 0.75 for Hull City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 2.72 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Wrexham
Hull City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Wrexham

1.20 xG created 0.67 xGA

W 1.44 created, 0.39 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
L 1.53 created, 0.58 conceded against Millwall
D 1.07 created, 0.38 conceded against Bristol City
W 2.09 created, 0.81 conceded against Ipswich Town
W 0.54 created, 0.53 conceded against Portsmouth
W 0.53 created, 1.34 conceded against Charlton Athletic

Hull City

1.20 xG created 1.80 xGA

L 1.39 created, 1.94 conceded against Bristol City
L 2.11 created, 1.64 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
W 0.58 created, 3.27 conceded against Derby County
W 0.34 created, 1.02 conceded against Portsmouth
L 0.27 created, 1.54 conceded against Ipswich Town
L 2.51 created, 1.38 conceded against Millwall

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Wrexham: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Hull City 2:0 Wrexham 10/12/2025 xG 2.93 – 1.32

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.