Birmingham City 2:1 Watford: xG & match report · Championship

Monday, 01/12/2025 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Birmingham City Home 1.26 xG · 13 shots

Watford Away 1.03 xG · 12 shots

21 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

31' Seung Ho Paik Birmingham City · 0.02 xG chance 1–0
43' Demarai Gray Birmingham City · 0.04 xG chance 2–0
61' Othmane Maamma Watford · 0.09 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Birmingham City Watford

Shots: 13; 12
On target: 5; 4
Inside the box: 8; 8
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.63; 0.95
Set-piece xG: 0.61; 0.10
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.26 for Birmingham City and 1.03 for Watford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 2.29 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Birmingham City
Watford
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Birmingham City

1.88 xG created 0.55 xGA

L 0.69 created, 0.27 conceded against Bristol City
W 3.11 created, 0.23 conceded against Portsmouth
W 1.74 created, 0.12 conceded against Millwall
L 1.20 created, 0.61 conceded against Middlesbrough
W 3.56 created, 1.28 conceded against Norwich City
D 0.99 created, 0.77 conceded against West Bromwich Albion

Watford

1.41 xG created 0.98 xGA

L 2.61 created, 1.31 conceded against Coventry City
W 0.92 created, 0.79 conceded against Middlesbrough
D 0.35 created, 1.43 conceded against Ipswich Town
D 1.39 created, 0.77 conceded against Bristol City
W 1.47 created, 0.62 conceded against Derby County
D 1.70 created, 0.98 conceded against Preston North End

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.