xgEdge

Expected goals

1. FC Slovácko expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Czech First League · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

1. FC Slovácko's attacking and defensive expected goals in Czech First League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

1. FC Slovácko xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.92 xG per match
#15/16
Attack (xG per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 2.38
#2 AC Sparta Praha 1.66
#3 FC Slovan Liberec 1.66
#4 Mladá Boleslav 1.45
#5 Viktoria Plzeň 1.43
#6 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.39
#7 Baník Ostrava 1.34
#8 FK Pardubice 1.34
#9 FK Jablonec 1.32
#10 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.24
#11 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.23
#12 FK Teplice 1.20
#13 SK Líšeň 1.05
#14 FC Hradec Králové 1.03
#15 1. FC Slovácko 0.92
#16 FC Zlín 0.87
League avg
1.34
Total
8.26 9 matches
Defence
1.88 xGA per match
#14/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Slovan Liberec 0.86
#2 FK Jablonec 1.01
#3 SK Slavia Praha 1.02
#4 FC Hradec Králové 1.05
#5 Viktoria Plzeň 1.10
#6 FK Pardubice 1.20
#7 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.21
#8 AC Sparta Praha 1.25
#9 FK Teplice 1.28
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.37
#11 SK Líšeň 1.42
#12 FC Zlín 1.44
#13 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.52
#14 1. FC Slovácko 1.88
#15 Baník Ostrava 1.89
#16 Mladá Boleslav 2.06
League avg
1.34
Total
16.94 9 matches
xG difference
-0.96 xGD per match
#16/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha +1.36
#2 FC Slovan Liberec +0.80
#3 AC Sparta Praha +0.41
#4 Viktoria Plzeň +0.32
#5 FK Jablonec +0.31
#6 FK Pardubice +0.14
#7 SK Sigma Olomouc +0.02
#8 Bohemians Praha 1905 +0.02
#9 FC Hradec Králové -0.02
#10 FK Teplice -0.08
#11 FC Zbrojovka Brno -0.28
#12 SK Líšeň -0.37
#13 Baník Ostrava -0.55
#14 FC Zlín -0.57
#15 Mladá Boleslav -0.62
#16 1. FC Slovácko -0.96
League avg
0.00
Total
-8.68 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.88 xPts per match
#16/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 2.11
#2 FC Slovan Liberec 1.90
#3 AC Sparta Praha 1.68
#4 Viktoria Plzeň 1.61
#5 FK Jablonec 1.59
#6 FK Pardubice 1.46
#7 FC Hradec Králové 1.39
#8 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.39
#9 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.33
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.31
#11 FK Teplice 1.30
#12 SK Líšeň 1.11
#13 Mladá Boleslav 1.03
#14 Baník Ostrava 1.02
#15 FC Zlín 0.90
#16 1. FC Slovácko 0.88
League avg
1.38
Total
7.91 vs 4 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

1. FC Slovácko's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Czech First League. They rank #16 for xG difference at -0.96 per match, from low shot volume and low chance quality. Their 7 goals are 1.26 below 8.26 xG, while 4 points are 3.91 below 7.91 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
7 8.26 -1.26 scored 1.26 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
16 16.94 -0.94 conceded 0.94 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
4 7.91 -3.91 3.91 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

1. FC Slovácko are 1.26 goals below their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at -1.49, against Bohemians Praha 1905 on Sat 12/09.

Goals
7
xG
8.26
Gap
-1.26
Sun 26/07 Sat 01/08 Sun 09/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Sun 30/08 Sat 05/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.38 +0.85 +0.27 +0.23 -0.95 -0.36 -1.25 -1.49 -1.26 +0.38 +0.47 -0.58 -0.04 -1.18 +0.59 -0.89 -0.24 +0.23 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
1. FC Slovácko: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 SK Slavia Praha 1 0.62 +0.38 +0.38
Sat 01/08 SK Líšeň 1 0.53 +0.47 +0.85
Sun 09/08 FK Jablonec 0 0.58 -0.58 +0.27
Sat 15/08 SK Sigma Olomouc 1 1.04 -0.04 +0.23
Sat 22/08 Mladá Boleslav 1 2.18 -1.18 -0.95
Sun 30/08 Viktoria Plzeň 1 0.41 +0.59 -0.36
Sat 05/09 FK Pardubice 0 0.89 -0.89 -1.25
Sat 12/09 Bohemians Praha 1905 0 0.24 -0.24 -1.49
Sat 19/09 Baník Ostrava 2 1.77 +0.23 -1.26

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

1. FC Slovácko xG trend

Current form -0.79 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 9 matches. The worst was against Bohemians Praha 1905 on Sat 12/09 (-3.56).

npxG · last 6
1.03
npxGA · last 6
1.82
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -2.66 Sun 26/07 -0.20 Sat 01/08 +0.22 Sun 09/08 -0.92 Sat 15/08 +0.52 Sat 22/08 -0.87 Sun 30/08 +0.19 Sat 05/09 -3.56 Sat 12/09 -0.11 Sat 19/09 -0.82 season avg
1. FC Slovácko: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 26/07 SK Slavia Praha 0.61 3.27 -2.66 -2.66
Sat 01/08 SK Líšeň 0.95 1.15 -0.20 -1.43
Sun 09/08 FK Jablonec 0.58 0.36 +0.22 -0.88
Sat 15/08 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.08 2.00 -0.92 -0.89
Sat 22/08 Mladá Boleslav 1.70 1.18 +0.52 -0.61
Sun 30/08 Viktoria Plzeň 0.41 1.28 -0.87 -0.65
Sat 05/09 FK Pardubice 0.89 0.70 +0.19 -0.53
Sat 12/09 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.24 3.80 -3.56 -0.91
Sat 19/09 Baník Ostrava 1.85 1.96 -0.11 -0.82

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.92 npxG and 1.74 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 3 hardest of 16 in Czech First League
+0.05 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 11 hardest of 16 in Czech First League
−0.06 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.05 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · tied number 3 hardest of 16

  1. Baník Ostrava Home −0.24
  2. Bohemians Praha 1905 Away 0.00
  3. FK Pardubice Home −0.03
  4. Viktoria Plzeň Away +0.36
  5. Mladá Boleslav Away −0.38
  6. SK Sigma Olomouc Home +0.01
  7. FK Jablonec Away +0.21
  8. SK Líšeň Home −0.32
  9. SK Slavia Praha Away +0.82

Last 5

−0.06 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 11 hardest of 16

  1. Baník Ostrava Home −0.24
  2. Bohemians Praha 1905 Away 0.00
  3. FK Pardubice Home −0.03
  4. Viktoria Plzeň Away +0.36
  5. Mladá Boleslav Away −0.38

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

1. FC Slovácko shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. 1. FC Slovácko take 11.0 shots a match (league 13.2) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #14 in Czech First League for volume and #14 for quality. 55% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 21% of their npxG (league 26%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.0 shots per match
#14/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 17.3
#2 AC Sparta Praha 16.6
#3 FC Slovan Liberec 16.2
#4 FK Jablonec 15.7
#5 FK Teplice 14.5
#6 Viktoria Plzeň 14.0
#7 FK Pardubice 13.0
#8 Bohemians Praha 1905 12.6
#9 Baník Ostrava 12.4
=10 FC Hradec Králové 12.0
=10 Mladá Boleslav 12.0
#12 FC Zlín 11.9
#13 FC Zbrojovka Brno 11.8
#14 1. FC Slovácko 11.0
#15 SK Sigma Olomouc 10.8
#16 SK Líšeň 9.8
League avg
13.2
Total
99 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#14/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SK Slavia Praha 0.13
#2 Mladá Boleslav 0.11
#3 SK Sigma Olomouc 0.11
#4 SK Líšeň 0.11
#5 FC Slovan Liberec 0.11
#6 FK Pardubice 0.10
#7 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.10
#8 Baník Ostrava 0.10
#9 AC Sparta Praha 0.10
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.09
#11 FK Jablonec 0.09
#12 FC Hradec Králové 0.09
#13 Viktoria Plzeň 0.08
#14 1. FC Slovácko 0.08
#15 FK Teplice 0.08
#16 FC Zlín 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
8.31 npxG from 99 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.2 shots per match
#5/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 10.7
#2 FC Slovan Liberec 10.8
#3 AC Sparta Praha 11.6
#4 FK Jablonec 11.7
#5 1. FC Slovácko 12.2
=6 SK Sigma Olomouc 12.4
=6 Viktoria Plzeň 12.4
#8 FC Zbrojovka Brno 13.0
#9 FK Pardubice 13.3
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 13.6
#11 FC Hradec Králové 13.9
#12 FK Teplice 14.6
#13 Baník Ostrava 14.7
#14 FC Zlín 14.9
#15 SK Líšeň 15.0
#16 Mladá Boleslav 17.8
League avg
13.2
Total
110 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.14 npxGA per shot
#16/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Slovan Liberec 0.07
#2 FC Hradec Králové 0.08
#3 FK Jablonec 0.08
#4 Viktoria Plzeň 0.08
#5 FK Pardubice 0.09
#6 FC Zlín 0.09
#7 FK Teplice 0.09
#8 SK Líšeň 0.09
#9 SK Sigma Olomouc 0.09
#10 SK Slavia Praha 0.10
#11 AC Sparta Praha 0.10
#12 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.10
#13 Mladá Boleslav 0.11
#14 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.12
#15 Baník Ostrava 0.13
#16 1. FC Slovácko 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
15.70 npxGA from 110 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

55% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 54 of 99 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

69% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 76 of 110 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

79% open play · 21% set pieces

League avg 26% set pieces

From 1.7 of 8.2 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

79% open play · 21% set pieces

League avg 26% set pieces

From 3.3 of 15.8 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

1. FC Slovácko home and away xG

1. FC Slovácko per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 5
xG / match 1.06 0.81
xGA / match 1.68 2.05
xGD / match -0.62 -1.24
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.91 0.86

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every 1. FC Slovácko match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9
xG / match
0.92
xGA / match
1.88
xGD / match
-0.96
Points
4 of 27
  1. Sat 19/09 Baník Ostrava H xG 1.77 xGA 2.57 P xGD -0.80
  2. Sat 12/09 Bohemians Praha 1905 A Weakest underlying xG 0.24 xGA 3.70 xGD -3.46
  3. Sat 05/09 FK Pardubice H xG 0.89 xGA 0.70 xGD +0.19
  4. Sun 30/08 Viktoria Plzeň A xG 0.41 xGA 1.28 xGD -0.87
  5. Sat 22/08 Mladá Boleslav A Against the chances xG 2.18 xGA 1.16 xGD +1.02
  6. Sat 15/08 SK Sigma Olomouc H xG 1.04 xGA 2.02 xGD -0.98
  7. Sun 09/08 FK Jablonec A xG 0.58 xGA 0.36 xGD +0.22
  8. Sat 01/08 SK Líšeň H xG 0.53 xGA 1.42 xGD -0.89
  9. Sun 26/07 SK Slavia Praha A xG 0.62 xGA 3.73 xGD -3.11

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.73. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

1. FC Slovácko in Czech First League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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