Eredivisie odds: history of flagged selections 2026/2027
Estimates from a statistical model, published for reading rather than as betting advice. A positive value is a statement about an average over a long run, not about the match in front of you.
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Every Eredivisie qualified selection this season — a fresh price, full model data, a market with measured skill and an edge from 5% up to but not including 40%, at the model's last evaluation before kickoff — newest first, with its result and what an equal stake of one unit returned.
The price shown is the one paired with the last evaluation before kickoff, not necessarily the price available when the selection first appeared. Selections that no longer qualified at that evaluation are not counted.
| Match and selection | Model prob. | Price | Bookmaker | Captured | Result | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Twente – PSV Eindhoven FC Twente not to score | Model prob. 18.2% | Price 6.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| FC Twente – PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven not to score | Model prob. 17.5% | Price 7.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| FC Twente – PSV Eindhoven FC Twente at most 1 goal | Model prob. 52.1% | Price 2.10 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| FC Twente – PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven at most 1 goal | Model prob. 50.6% | Price 2.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Feyenoord – FC Utrecht Feyenoord not to score | Model prob. 9.2% | Price 13.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Feyenoord – FC Utrecht FC Utrecht to score | Model prob. 71.4% | Price 1.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Feyenoord – FC Utrecht Feyenoord at most 1 goal | Model prob. 33.1% | Price 3.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Feyenoord – FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 2+ goals | Model prob. 32.7% | Price 3.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| AFC Ajax – Excelsior Excelsior to score | Model prob. 73.5% | Price 1.53 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.53u |
| AFC Ajax – Excelsior Excelsior 2+ goals | Model prob. 35.2% | Price 3.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +2.50u |
| Sparta Rotterdam – SC Heerenveen Sparta Rotterdam to win | Model prob. 43.1% | Price 2.45 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| PEC Zwolle – Feyenoord PEC Zwolle to win | Model prob. 18.2% | Price 6.25 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| PEC Zwolle – Feyenoord Feyenoord not to score | Model prob. 11.9% | Price 11.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| PEC Zwolle – Feyenoord Feyenoord at most 1 goal | Model prob. 39.5% | Price 3.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| SC Heerenveen – SC Telstar SC Telstar to win | Model prob. 29.0% | Price 4.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| SC Heerenveen – SC Telstar SC Heerenveen not to score | Model prob. 15.9% | Price 8.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +7.00u |
| SC Heerenveen – SC Telstar SC Heerenveen at most 1 goal | Model prob. 47.7% | Price 2.63 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.63u |
| SC Heerenveen – SC Telstar SC Telstar 2+ goals | Model prob. 41.4% | Price 2.63 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Fortuna Sittard – AFC Ajax Fortuna Sittard to win | Model prob. 17.8% | Price 6.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Fortuna Sittard – AFC Ajax AFC Ajax at most 1 goal | Model prob. 35.9% | Price 3.25 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Go Ahead Eagles – FC Groningen FC Groningen to win | Model prob. 46.2% | Price 2.70 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Go Ahead Eagles – FC Groningen Go Ahead Eagles at most 1 goal | Model prob. 50.9% | Price 2.10 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.10u |
| Go Ahead Eagles – FC Groningen FC Groningen 2+ goals | Model prob. 61.8% | Price 1.83 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| FC Twente – SC Telstar SC Telstar to score | Model prob. 68.4% | Price 1.57 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| FC Twente – SC Telstar SC Telstar 2+ goals | Model prob. 28.8% | Price 3.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| NEC Nijmegen – Excelsior Excelsior to win | Model prob. 22.5% | Price 5.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| FC Utrecht – Go Ahead Eagles FC Utrecht to win | Model prob. 54.3% | Price 2.20 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Void | Return 0.00u |
| AFC Ajax – PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven to win | Model prob. 46.9% | Price 2.45 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.45u |
| NEC Nijmegen – Feyenoord NEC Nijmegen to win | Model prob. 37.0% | Price 3.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Sparta Rotterdam – PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle to win | Model prob. 29.3% | Price 4.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| PEC Zwolle – NEC Nijmegen PEC Zwolle at most 1 goal | Model prob. 67.0% | Price 1.57 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.57u |
| Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam at most 1 goal | Model prob. 62.4% | Price 1.73 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.73u |
| FC Groningen – Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard to win | Model prob. 18.7% | Price 6.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +5.00u |
A selection counts only if the live feed evaluated and priced it before kickoff and it qualified at that evaluation. Nothing is added afterwards. A pending selection is graded by the nightly settlement. How the model works →