xgEdge

Expected goals

NK Rudeš expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

HNL · after 8 matches · updated 4 Oct

NK Rudeš's attacking and defensive expected goals in HNL 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

NK Rudeš xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.60 xG per match
#10/10
Attack (xG per match) across HNL, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 GNK Dinamo Zagreb 2.24
#2 HNK Rijeka 1.65
#3 HNK Hajduk Split 1.52
#4 NK Osijek 1.51
#5 NK Istra 1961 1.44
#6 NK Varaždin 1.41
#7 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.05
#8 NK Slaven Belupo 0.93
#9 HNK Gorica 0.87
#10 NK Rudeš 0.60
League avg
1.31
Total
4.76 8 matches
Defence
2.20 xGA per match
#10/10
Defence (xGA per match) across HNL, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 HNK Hajduk Split 0.74
#2 HNK Rijeka 0.77
#3 NK Varaždin 0.88
#4 GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0.91
#5 NK Istra 1961 1.26
#6 NK Osijek 1.28
#7 HNK Gorica 1.37
#8 NK Slaven Belupo 1.68
#9 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.84
#10 NK Rudeš 2.20
League avg
1.31
Total
17.61 8 matches
xG difference
-1.61 xGD per match
#10/10
xG difference (xGD per match) across HNL, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 GNK Dinamo Zagreb +1.32
#2 HNK Rijeka +0.88
#3 HNK Hajduk Split +0.78
#4 NK Varaždin +0.53
#5 NK Osijek +0.23
#6 NK Istra 1961 +0.19
#7 HNK Gorica -0.50
#8 NK Slaven Belupo -0.76
#9 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb -0.79
#10 NK Rudeš -1.61
League avg
0.00
Total
-12.85 8 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.45 xPts per match
#10/10
Expected points (xPts per match) across HNL, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 GNK Dinamo Zagreb 2.23
#2 HNK Rijeka 1.96
#3 HNK Hajduk Split 1.93
#4 NK Varaždin 1.80
#5 NK Osijek 1.53
#6 NK Istra 1961 1.45
#7 HNK Gorica 0.95
#8 NK Slaven Belupo 0.93
#9 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.82
#10 NK Rudeš 0.45
League avg
1.39
Total
3.57 vs 4 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 8 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

NK Rudeš's underlying numbers are among the weakest in HNL. They rank #10 for xG difference at -1.61 per match, from the league's lowest shot volume and the league's lowest chance quality. Their 10 goals are 5.24 above 4.76 xG, while 4 points are 0.43 above 3.57 xPts. After only 8 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
10 4.76 +5.24 scored 5.24 more than xG far outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
24 17.61 +6.39 conceded 6.39 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
4 3.57 +0.43 0.43 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

NK Rudeš are 5.24 goals above their xG after 8 matches.

Goals
10
xG
4.76
Gap
+5.24
Sun 02/08 Sat 08/08 Fri 14/08 Fri 21/08 Sat 29/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Fri 18/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +0.72 +1.12 +0.73 +3.04 +2.68 +2.56 +3.72 +5.24 +0.72 +0.40 -0.39 +2.31 -0.36 -0.12 +1.16 +1.52 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
NK Rudeš: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 02/08 HNK Rijeka 1 0.28 +0.72 +0.72
Sat 08/08 NK Osijek 1 0.60 +0.40 +1.12
Fri 14/08 GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0 0.39 -0.39 +0.73
Fri 21/08 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4 1.69 +2.31 +3.04
Sat 29/08 NK Varaždin 0 0.36 -0.36 +2.68
Sun 06/09 HNK Hajduk Split 0 0.12 -0.12 +2.56
Sun 13/09 NK Istra 1961 2 0.84 +1.16 +3.72
Fri 18/09 NK Slaven Belupo 2 0.48 +1.52 +5.24

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

NK Rudeš xG trend

Current form -0.79 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 1 of 8 matches. The worst was against GNK Dinamo Zagreb on Fri 14/08 (-2.23).

npxG · last 6
0.64
npxGA · last 6
1.43
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 -2.06 Sun 02/08 -2.16 Sat 08/08 -2.23 Fri 14/08 +0.66 Fri 21/08 -0.78 Sat 29/08 -1.41 Sun 06/09 -0.24 Sun 13/09 -0.75 Fri 18/09 -1.12 season avg
NK Rudeš: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 02/08 HNK Rijeka 0.28 2.34 -2.06 -2.06
Sat 08/08 NK Osijek 0.60 2.76 -2.16 -2.11
Fri 14/08 GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0.39 2.62 -2.23 -2.15
Fri 21/08 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.69 1.03 +0.66 -1.45
Sat 29/08 NK Varaždin 0.36 1.14 -0.78 -1.31
Sun 06/09 HNK Hajduk Split 0.12 1.53 -1.41 -1.33
Sun 13/09 NK Istra 1961 0.84 1.08 -0.24 -1.17
Fri 18/09 NK Slaven Belupo 0.45 1.20 -0.75 -1.12

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.59 npxG and 1.71 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 1 hardest of 10 in HNL
+0.11 xG vs league average
Over 8 league matches
Last 5
number 7 hardest of 10 in HNL
−0.08 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.11 xG vs league average · over 8 matches · tied number 1 hardest of 10

  1. NK Slaven Belupo Home −0.33
  2. NK Istra 1961 Away −0.20
  3. HNK Hajduk Split Home +0.38
  4. NK Varaždin Away +0.13
  5. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Home −0.39
  6. GNK Dinamo Zagreb Away +0.52
  7. NK Osijek Home +0.18
  8. HNK Rijeka Away +0.55

Last 5

−0.08 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 7 hardest of 10

  1. NK Slaven Belupo Home −0.33
  2. NK Istra 1961 Away −0.20
  3. HNK Hajduk Split Home +0.38
  4. NK Varaždin Away +0.13
  5. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Home −0.39

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

NK Rudeš shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. NK Rudeš take 9.1 shots a match (league 13.7) at 0.06 npxG a shot (league 0.09), #10 in HNL for volume and #10 for quality. 59% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 40% of their npxG (league 21%).

Attack

Shot volume
9.1 shots per match
#10/10
Shot volume (shots per match) across HNL, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 GNK Dinamo Zagreb 19.6
#2 NK Osijek 17.6
#3 HNK Rijeka 17.6
#4 HNK Hajduk Split 15.5
#5 NK Varaždin 14.1
#6 NK Istra 1961 13.0
#7 NK Slaven Belupo 11.5
=8 HNK Gorica 9.9
=8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 9.9
#10 NK Rudeš 9.1
League avg
13.7
Total
73 shots from 8 matches
Chance quality
0.06 npxG per shot
#10/10
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across HNL, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0.10
#2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.10
#3 NK Istra 1961 0.10
#4 HNK Rijeka 0.09
#5 NK Varaždin 0.09
#6 HNK Hajduk Split 0.09
#7 NK Osijek 0.08
#8 HNK Gorica 0.07
#9 NK Slaven Belupo 0.07
#10 NK Rudeš 0.06
League avg
0.09
Total
4.73 npxG from 73 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
17.5 shots per match
#9/10
Shots allowed (shots per match) across HNL, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 HNK Hajduk Split 7.5
#2 HNK Rijeka 7.9
#3 GNK Dinamo Zagreb 9.1
#4 NK Varaždin 12.1
#5 NK Osijek 12.6
#6 NK Istra 1961 14.6
#7 NK Slaven Belupo 16.5
#8 HNK Gorica 16.6
#9 NK Rudeš 17.5
#10 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 20.8
League avg
13.7
Total
140 shots allowed from 8 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#8/10
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across HNL, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 NK Varaždin 0.06
#2 HNK Rijeka 0.08
#3 NK Istra 1961 0.08
#4 HNK Gorica 0.08
#5 HNK Hajduk Split 0.09
#6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.09
#7 NK Osijek 0.09
#8 NK Rudeš 0.10
#9 NK Slaven Belupo 0.10
#10 GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0.10
League avg
0.09
Total
13.70 npxGA from 140 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

59% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 43 of 73 shots over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

71% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 100 of 140 shots allowed over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

60% open play · 40% set pieces

League avg 21% set pieces

From 1.9 of 4.7 npxG over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

86% open play · 14% set pieces

League avg 21% set pieces

From 2.0 of 13.7 npxG allowed over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

NK Rudeš home and away xG

NK Rudeš per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 4
xG / match 0.72 0.47
xGA / match 2.03 2.38
xGD / match -1.30 -1.91
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.62 0.27

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every NK Rudeš match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Away this season

Matches
4
xG / match
0.47
xGA / match
2.38
xGD / match
-1.91
Points
0 of 12
  1. Sun 13/09 NK Istra 1961 A xG 0.84 xGA 1.87 P xGD -1.03
  2. Sat 29/08 NK Varaždin A xG 0.36 xGA 1.93 P xGD -1.57
  3. Fri 14/08 GNK Dinamo Zagreb A xG 0.39 xGA 3.38 P xGD -2.99
  4. Sun 02/08 HNK Rijeka A xG 0.28 xGA 2.33 xGD -2.05

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.38. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

NK Rudeš in HNL

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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