xgEdge

Expected goals

KRC Genk expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Jupiler Pro League · after 7 matches · updated 4 Oct

KRC Genk's attacking and defensive expected goals in Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

KRC Genk xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.78 xG per match
#6/18
Attack (xG per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 2.16
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.09
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.91
#4 Sint-Truidense VV 1.91
#5 Standard Liège 1.79
#6 KRC Genk 1.78
#7 Cercle Brugge 1.69
#8 RSC Anderlecht 1.62
#9 KVC Westerlo 1.45
#10 Royal Antwerp FC 1.34
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.29
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 1.26
#13 KV Mechelen 1.22
#14 KAA Gent 1.16
#15 SK Beveren 1.11
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.01
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.99
#18 Lommel SK 0.94
League avg
1.48
Total
12.44 7 matches
Defence
1.08 xGA per match
#5/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 KAA Gent 0.66
#2 RSC Anderlecht 0.87
#3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.02
#4 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.06
#5 KRC Genk 1.08
#6 Club Brugge KV 1.20
#7 SV Zulte Waregem 1.31
#8 KV Mechelen 1.46
#9 Lommel SK 1.50
#10 Standard Liège 1.53
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.65
#12 Cercle Brugge 1.75
#13 KVC Westerlo 1.81
#14 Sint-Truidense VV 1.84
#15 SK Beveren 1.86
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.88
#17 KV Kortrijk 1.92
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 2.30
League avg
1.48
Total
7.54 7 matches
xG difference
+0.70 xGD per match
#5/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise +1.06
#2 Club Brugge KV +0.96
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi +0.86
#4 RSC Anderlecht +0.76
#5 KRC Genk +0.70
#6 KAA Gent +0.50
#7 Standard Liège +0.25
#8 Sint-Truidense VV +0.07
#9 SV Zulte Waregem -0.05
#10 Cercle Brugge -0.07
#11 KV Mechelen -0.24
#12 RAAL La Louvière -0.36
#13 KVC Westerlo -0.37
#14 Lommel SK -0.56
#15 SK Beveren -0.75
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven -0.87
#17 KV Kortrijk -0.93
#18 Royal Antwerp FC -0.97
League avg
0.00
Total
+4.90 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.64 xPts per match
#6/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 RC Sporting Charleroi 2.02
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.98
#3 Club Brugge KV 1.90
#4 RSC Anderlecht 1.88
#5 KAA Gent 1.81
#6 KRC Genk 1.64
#7 Standard Liège 1.48
#8 Sint-Truidense VV 1.44
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 1.34
#10 Cercle Brugge 1.25
#11 KVC Westerlo 1.24
#12 KV Mechelen 1.19
#13 RAAL La Louvière 1.08
#14 Royal Antwerp FC 1.00
#15 Lommel SK 1.00
#16 SK Beveren 0.95
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.87
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
11.51 vs 9 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

KRC Genk's underlying numbers are among the best in Jupiler Pro League. They rank #5 for xG difference at +0.70 per match, built on high chance quality rather than about average shot volume. Their 13 goals are 0.56 above 12.44 xG, while 9 points are 2.51 below 11.51 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.50 xG from penalties
13 12.44 +0.56 scored 0.56 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
12 7.54 +4.46 conceded 4.46 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
9 11.51 -2.51 2.51 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

KRC Genk are 0.56 goals above their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at +2.86, against SK Beveren on Fri 28/08.

Goals
13
xG
12.44
Gap
+0.56
Sun 09/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Fri 28/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.46 -0.78 +1.92 +2.86 +2.46 +2.52 +0.56 +0.46 -1.24 +2.70 +0.94 -0.40 +0.06 -1.96 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
KRC Genk: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 SV Zulte Waregem 1 0.54 +0.46 +0.46
Sat 15/08 KVC Westerlo 3 4.24 -1.24 -0.78
Sat 22/08 Royal Antwerp FC 4 1.30 +2.70 +1.92
Fri 28/08 SK Beveren 4 3.06 +0.94 +2.86
Sun 06/09 RSC Anderlecht 0 0.40 -0.40 +2.46
Sun 13/09 KAA Gent 1 0.94 +0.06 +2.52
Sun 20/09 Club Brugge KV 0 1.96 -1.96 +0.56

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

KRC Genk xG trend

Current form +0.70 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 5 of 7 matches. The worst was against RSC Anderlecht on Sun 06/09 (-0.30).

npxG · last 6
1.73
npxGA · last 6
1.04
-1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.03 Sun 09/08 +2.50 Sat 15/08 -0.01 Sat 22/08 +1.74 Fri 28/08 -0.30 Sun 06/09 +0.05 Sun 13/09 +0.19 Sun 20/09 +0.60 season avg
KRC Genk: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 09/08 SV Zulte Waregem 0.54 0.51 +0.03 +0.03
Sat 15/08 KVC Westerlo 3.45 0.95 +2.50 +1.27
Sat 22/08 Royal Antwerp FC 1.30 1.31 -0.01 +0.84
Fri 28/08 SK Beveren 2.35 0.61 +1.74 +1.07
Sun 06/09 RSC Anderlecht 0.40 0.70 -0.30 +0.79
Sun 13/09 KAA Gent 0.94 0.89 +0.05 +0.67
Sun 20/09 Club Brugge KV 1.96 1.77 +0.19 +0.60

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.56 npxG and 0.96 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 4 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
+0.04 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
tied number 6 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
+0.05 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.04 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · tied number 4 hardest of 18

  1. Club Brugge KV Away +0.56
  2. KAA Gent Home +0.09
  3. RSC Anderlecht Away +0.21
  4. SK Beveren Home −0.38
  5. Royal Antwerp FC Away −0.25
  6. KVC Westerlo Home −0.09
  7. SV Zulte Waregem Away +0.11

Last 5

+0.05 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 6 hardest of 18

  1. Club Brugge KV Away +0.56
  2. KAA Gent Home +0.09
  3. RSC Anderlecht Away +0.21
  4. SK Beveren Home −0.38
  5. Royal Antwerp FC Away −0.25

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

KRC Genk shots and chance quality

Average volume, high quality. KRC Genk take 14.1 shots a match (league 14.2) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #9 in Jupiler Pro League for volume and #5 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 16% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
14.1 shots per match
#9/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 18.7
#2 RC Sporting Charleroi 18.0
=3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 17.3
=3 Sint-Truidense VV 17.3
#5 RSC Anderlecht 16.6
#6 KVC Westerlo 15.3
#7 Royal Antwerp FC 15.1
#8 Cercle Brugge 14.7
#9 KRC Genk 14.1
#10 Standard Liège 14.0
#11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.1
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 12.9
#13 KAA Gent 12.4
#14 KV Mechelen 11.9
#15 KV Kortrijk 11.7
#16 RAAL La Louvière 10.9
#17 SK Beveren 10.7
#18 Lommel SK 10.0
League avg
14.2
Total
99 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#5/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.12
#2 Standard Liège 0.11
#3 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#4 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#5 KRC Genk 0.11
#6 Club Brugge KV 0.10
#7 Cercle Brugge 0.10
#8 RSC Anderlecht 0.10
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#10 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.10
#11 SK Beveren 0.09
#12 KVC Westerlo 0.09
#13 KV Kortrijk 0.09
#14 KAA Gent 0.09
#15 KV Mechelen 0.09
#16 Royal Antwerp FC 0.08
#17 Lommel SK 0.08
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
10.94 npxG from 99 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.7 shots per match
#9/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 RSC Anderlecht 9.9
#2 KAA Gent 10.3
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 11.0
#4 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 11.3
#5 SV Zulte Waregem 12.1
#6 Club Brugge KV 13.1
#7 Cercle Brugge 13.6
#8 KV Mechelen 14.3
#9 KRC Genk 14.7
=10 KV Kortrijk 14.9
=10 Sint-Truidense VV 14.9
=12 KVC Westerlo 15.0
=12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15.0
#14 Standard Liège 15.3
#15 SK Beveren 15.6
#16 RAAL La Louvière 15.7
#17 Royal Antwerp FC 17.1
#18 Lommel SK 21.0
League avg
14.2
Total
103 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.07 npxGA per shot
#1/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KRC Genk 0.07
#2 KAA Gent 0.07
#3 Lommel SK 0.07
#4 Standard Liège 0.08
#5 RSC Anderlecht 0.09
#6 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.09
#7 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.09
#8 Club Brugge KV 0.09
#9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.10
#10 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#11 KV Mechelen 0.11
#12 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#13 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#14 SK Beveren 0.11
#15 Cercle Brugge 0.11
#16 KV Kortrijk 0.11
#17 KVC Westerlo 0.11
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
6.74 npxGA from 103 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

68% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 67 of 99 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

65% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 67 of 103 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

84% open play · 16% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.8 of 11.0 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

75% open play · 25% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.7 of 6.7 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

KRC Genk home and away xG

KRC Genk per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 4
xG / match 2.75 1.05
xGA / match 0.78 1.30
xGD / match +1.96 -0.25
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.34 1.12

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every KRC Genk match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

At home this season

Matches
3
xG / match
2.75
xGA / match
0.78
xGD / match
+1.96
Points
7 of 9
  1. Sun 13/09 KAA Gent H xG 0.94 xGA 0.89 xGD +0.05
  2. Fri 28/08 SK Beveren H xG 3.06 P xGA 0.61 xGD +2.45
  3. Sat 15/08 KVC Westerlo H xG 4.24 P xGA 0.85 xGD +3.39

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.24. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

KRC Genk in Jupiler Pro League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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