xgEdge

Expected goals

Lommel SK expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Jupiler Pro League · after 7 matches · updated 4 Oct

Lommel SK's attacking and defensive expected goals in Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Lommel SK xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.94 xG per match
#18/18
Attack (xG per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 2.16
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.09
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.91
#4 Sint-Truidense VV 1.91
#5 Standard Liège 1.79
#6 KRC Genk 1.78
#7 Cercle Brugge 1.69
#8 RSC Anderlecht 1.62
#9 KVC Westerlo 1.45
#10 Royal Antwerp FC 1.34
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.29
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 1.26
#13 KV Mechelen 1.22
#14 KAA Gent 1.16
#15 SK Beveren 1.11
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.01
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.99
#18 Lommel SK 0.94
League avg
1.48
Total
6.58 7 matches
Defence
1.50 xGA per match
#9/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 KAA Gent 0.66
#2 RSC Anderlecht 0.87
#3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.02
#4 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.06
#5 KRC Genk 1.08
#6 Club Brugge KV 1.20
#7 SV Zulte Waregem 1.31
#8 KV Mechelen 1.46
#9 Lommel SK 1.50
#10 Standard Liège 1.53
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.65
#12 Cercle Brugge 1.75
#13 KVC Westerlo 1.81
#14 Sint-Truidense VV 1.84
#15 SK Beveren 1.86
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.88
#17 KV Kortrijk 1.92
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 2.30
League avg
1.48
Total
10.52 7 matches
xG difference
-0.56 xGD per match
#14/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise +1.06
#2 Club Brugge KV +0.96
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi +0.86
#4 RSC Anderlecht +0.76
#5 KRC Genk +0.70
#6 KAA Gent +0.50
#7 Standard Liège +0.25
#8 Sint-Truidense VV +0.07
#9 SV Zulte Waregem -0.05
#10 Cercle Brugge -0.07
#11 KV Mechelen -0.24
#12 RAAL La Louvière -0.36
#13 KVC Westerlo -0.37
#14 Lommel SK -0.56
#15 SK Beveren -0.75
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven -0.87
#17 KV Kortrijk -0.93
#18 Royal Antwerp FC -0.97
League avg
0.00
Total
-3.94 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.00 xPts per match
#15/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 RC Sporting Charleroi 2.02
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.98
#3 Club Brugge KV 1.90
#4 RSC Anderlecht 1.88
#5 KAA Gent 1.81
#6 KRC Genk 1.64
#7 Standard Liège 1.48
#8 Sint-Truidense VV 1.44
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 1.34
#10 Cercle Brugge 1.25
#11 KVC Westerlo 1.24
#12 KV Mechelen 1.19
#13 RAAL La Louvière 1.08
#14 Royal Antwerp FC 1.00
#15 Lommel SK 1.00
#16 SK Beveren 0.95
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.87
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
7.01 vs 8 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Lommel SK's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Jupiler Pro League. They rank #14 for xG difference at -0.56 per match, from the league's lowest shot volume and low chance quality. Their 6 goals are 0.58 below 6.58 xG, while 8 points are 0.99 above 7.01 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.77 xG from penalties
6 6.58 -0.58 scored 0.58 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
8 10.52 -2.52 conceded 2.52 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
8 7.01 +0.99 0.99 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Lommel SK are 0.58 goals below their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at -0.83, against RC Sporting Charleroi on Sun 16/08.

Goals
6
xG
6.58
Gap
-0.58
Sat 08/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 23/08 Sat 29/08 Fri 04/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.49 -0.83 +1.83 +1.20 +0.55 -0.10 -0.58 -0.49 -0.34 +2.66 -0.63 -0.65 -0.65 -0.48 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Lommel SK: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 08/08 Sint-Truidense VV 1 1.49 -0.49 -0.49
Sun 16/08 RC Sporting Charleroi 0 0.34 -0.34 -0.83
Sun 23/08 KVC Westerlo 4 1.34 +2.66 +1.83
Sat 29/08 Cercle Brugge 1 1.63 -0.63 +1.20
Fri 04/09 Club Brugge KV 0 0.65 -0.65 +0.55
Sat 12/09 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0 0.65 -0.65 -0.10
Sat 19/09 KV Mechelen 0 0.48 -0.48 -0.58

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Lommel SK xG trend

Current form -0.62 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 2 of 7 matches. The worst was against Royale Union Saint-Gilloise on Sat 12/09 (-2.62).

npxG · last 6
0.85
npxGA · last 6
1.48
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.29 Sat 08/08 -0.91 Sun 16/08 +0.68 Sun 23/08 +0.39 Sat 29/08 -0.46 Fri 04/09 -2.62 Sat 12/09 -0.83 Sat 19/09 -0.72 season avg
Lommel SK: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 08/08 Sint-Truidense VV 0.70 1.99 -1.29 -1.29
Sun 16/08 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.34 1.25 -0.91 -1.10
Sun 23/08 KVC Westerlo 1.34 0.66 +0.68 -0.51
Sat 29/08 Cercle Brugge 1.64 1.25 +0.39 -0.28
Fri 04/09 Club Brugge KV 0.65 1.11 -0.46 -0.32
Sat 12/09 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.66 3.28 -2.62 -0.70
Sat 19/09 KV Mechelen 0.48 1.31 -0.83 -0.72

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.83 npxG and 1.55 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 1 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
+0.19 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 2 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
+0.19 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.19 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 1 hardest of 18

  1. KV Mechelen Home −0.34
  2. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Away +0.65
  3. Club Brugge KV Home +0.56
  4. Cercle Brugge Away +0.16
  5. KVC Westerlo Home −0.09
  6. RC Sporting Charleroi Home +0.29
  7. Sint-Truidense VV Away +0.11

Last 5

+0.19 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 2 hardest of 18

  1. KV Mechelen Home −0.34
  2. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Away +0.65
  3. Club Brugge KV Home +0.56
  4. Cercle Brugge Away +0.16
  5. KVC Westerlo Home −0.09

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Lommel SK shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. Lommel SK take 10.0 shots a match (league 14.2) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #18 in Jupiler Pro League for volume and #17 for quality. 64% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 30% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
10.0 shots per match
#18/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 18.7
#2 RC Sporting Charleroi 18.0
=3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 17.3
=3 Sint-Truidense VV 17.3
#5 RSC Anderlecht 16.6
#6 KVC Westerlo 15.3
#7 Royal Antwerp FC 15.1
#8 Cercle Brugge 14.7
#9 KRC Genk 14.1
#10 Standard Liège 14.0
#11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.1
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 12.9
#13 KAA Gent 12.4
#14 KV Mechelen 11.9
#15 KV Kortrijk 11.7
#16 RAAL La Louvière 10.9
#17 SK Beveren 10.7
#18 Lommel SK 10.0
League avg
14.2
Total
70 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#17/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.12
#2 Standard Liège 0.11
#3 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#4 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#5 KRC Genk 0.11
#6 Club Brugge KV 0.10
#7 Cercle Brugge 0.10
#8 RSC Anderlecht 0.10
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#10 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.10
#11 SK Beveren 0.09
#12 KVC Westerlo 0.09
#13 KV Kortrijk 0.09
#14 KAA Gent 0.09
#15 KV Mechelen 0.09
#16 Royal Antwerp FC 0.08
#17 Lommel SK 0.08
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
5.81 npxG from 70 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
21.0 shots per match
#18/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 RSC Anderlecht 9.9
#2 KAA Gent 10.3
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 11.0
#4 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 11.3
#5 SV Zulte Waregem 12.1
#6 Club Brugge KV 13.1
#7 Cercle Brugge 13.6
#8 KV Mechelen 14.3
#9 KRC Genk 14.7
=10 KV Kortrijk 14.9
=10 Sint-Truidense VV 14.9
=12 KVC Westerlo 15.0
=12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15.0
#14 Standard Liège 15.3
#15 SK Beveren 15.6
#16 RAAL La Louvière 15.7
#17 Royal Antwerp FC 17.1
#18 Lommel SK 21.0
League avg
14.2
Total
147 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.07 npxGA per shot
#3/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KRC Genk 0.07
#2 KAA Gent 0.07
#3 Lommel SK 0.07
#4 Standard Liège 0.08
#5 RSC Anderlecht 0.09
#6 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.09
#7 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.09
#8 Club Brugge KV 0.09
#9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.10
#10 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#11 KV Mechelen 0.11
#12 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#13 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#14 SK Beveren 0.11
#15 Cercle Brugge 0.11
#16 KV Kortrijk 0.11
#17 KVC Westerlo 0.11
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
10.85 npxGA from 147 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

64% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 45 of 70 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

71% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 104 of 147 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

70% open play · 30% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.7 of 5.8 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

83% open play · 17% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.8 of 10.6 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Lommel SK home and away xG

Lommel SK per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 0.70 1.26
xGA / match 1.01 2.17
xGD / match -0.30 -0.91
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.05 0.94

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Lommel SK match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5

Matches
5
xG / match
0.95
xGA / match
1.46
xGD / match
-0.51
Points
7 of 15
  1. Sat 19/09 KV Mechelen H xG 0.48 xGA 1.31 xGD -0.83
  2. Sat 12/09 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A Weakest underlying xG 0.65 xGA 3.27 xGD -2.62
  3. Fri 04/09 Club Brugge KV H xG 0.65 xGA 0.80 xGD -0.15
  4. Sat 29/08 Cercle Brugge A xG 1.63 xGA 1.25 xGD +0.38
  5. Sun 23/08 KVC Westerlo H Best underlying xG 1.34 xGA 0.66 xGD +0.68

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.27. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Lommel SK in Jupiler Pro League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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