xgEdge

Every Serie A match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Sunday, 24/01/2027

10 matches
  • Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.26
    →
  • Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.85 – 0.69
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.50 – 1.02
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.45 – 1.22
    →
  • Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.40 – 1.38
    Tight
    →
  • Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.05 – 0.90
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.28 – 0.99
    →
  • Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.22 – 0.82
    →
  • Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.50 – 1.09
    →
  • Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.33 – 1.04
    →

Sunday, 31/01/2027

10 matches
  • Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 0.91 – 1.26
    →
  • Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.12 – 1.43
    →
  • Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.52 – 1.40
    →
  • Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.10 – 1.20
    →
  • Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.29 – 1.58
    →
  • Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.32 – 0.88
    →
  • Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.28 – 0.97
    →
  • Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.33 – 1.22
    →
  • Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.58 – 1.08
    →
  • Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.32 – 1.53
    →

Sunday, 07/02/2027

10 matches
  • Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.72 – 0.89
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 2.36 – 0.88
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.62 – 1.04
    →
  • Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 0.92 – 1.52
    →
  • Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.31 – 1.14
    →
  • Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.91 – 0.83
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.32 – 1.16
    →
  • Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.22 – 1.45
    →
  • Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.12 – 0.93
    →
  • Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.57 – 1.08
    →

Sunday, 14/02/2027

10 matches
  • Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.03 – 1.20
    →
  • Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.70 – 0.85
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.30 – 1.37
    Tight
    →
  • Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.46 – 1.45
    Tight
    →
  • Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.06 – 1.24
    →
  • Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.99 – 0.67
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.60 – 1.31
    →
  • Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.14 – 1.16
    Tight
    →
  • Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.09 – 1.27
    →
  • Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.89 – 1.00
    Clear favourite
    →

Sunday, 21/02/2027

10 matches
  • Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.86 – 0.91
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.30 – 1.26
    Tight
    →
  • Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.46 – 0.97
    →
  • Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.35 – 0.73
    →
  • Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.22 – 1.69
    →
  • Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.19 – 1.63
    →
  • Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.28 – 0.86
    →
  • Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.53 – 1.19
    →
  • Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.31 – 1.58
    →
  • Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.19
    Tight
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.