xgEdge

Every Serie A match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Sunday, 11/04/2027

10 matches
  • Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.94 – 0.63
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.57 – 1.11
    →
  • Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.25 – 1.07
    →
  • Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.39 – 0.99
    →
  • Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.20 – 1.36
    →
  • Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 0.85 – 1.65
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.49 – 0.96
    →
  • Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.49 – 1.16
    →
  • Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.64 – 1.37
    →
  • Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.23 – 1.38
    →

Sunday, 18/04/2027

10 matches
  • Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.26 – 1.65
    →
  • Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.52 – 0.81
    →
  • Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.69 – 0.88
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 2.15 – 1.13
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.80 – 0.96
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.41 – 0.82
    →
  • Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.59 – 1.17
    →
  • Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 0.93 – 1.67
    →
  • Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.15
    Tight
    →
  • Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.20 – 1.01
    →

Sunday, 25/04/2027

10 matches
  • Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.22 – 1.89
    →
  • Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.08 – 1.38
    →
  • Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.69 – 0.98
    →
  • Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.03 – 1.32
    →
  • Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.40
    →
  • Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.54 – 0.82
    →
  • Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.17 – 1.25
    →
  • Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 0.97 – 1.35
    →
  • Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.43 – 1.27
    →
  • Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.72 – 0.94
    Clear favourite
    →

Sunday, 02/05/2027

10 matches
  • Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 0.97 – 1.44
    →
  • Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.36 – 0.90
    →
  • Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.24 – 1.02
    →
  • Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.29 – 1.07
    →
  • Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.85 – 1.39
    →
  • Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.17 – 0.98
    →
  • Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.55 – 1.53
    Tight
    →
  • Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.71 – 1.07
    →
  • Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.21 – 1.19
    Tight
    →
  • Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.55 – 1.00
    →

Sunday, 09/05/2027

10 matches
  • Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 0.90 – 1.24
    →
  • Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.26 – 0.96
    →
  • Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.38 – 1.21
    →
  • Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.38 – 1.05
    →
  • Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 2.48 – 0.81
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.16 – 1.80
    →
  • Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 0.92 – 1.58
    →
  • Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.02 – 1.13
    →
  • Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.59 – 1.47
    →
  • Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.09 – 1.46
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.