xgEdge

Every Serie A match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Sunday, 28/02/2027

10 matches
  • Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.15 – 1.06
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.32 – 1.29
    Tight
    →
  • Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.05 – 1.42
    →
  • Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.04 – 1.09
    Tight
    →
  • Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.17 – 0.91
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.59 – 0.97
    →
  • Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.17 – 1.25
    →
  • Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.48 – 0.76
    →
  • Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 0.98 – 1.29
    →
  • Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.33 – 1.56
    →

Sunday, 07/03/2027

10 matches
  • Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.18 – 2.02
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.49 – 1.09
    →
  • Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.64 – 0.73
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 0.92 – 1.79
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.61 – 1.24
    →
  • Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.25 – 1.12
    →
  • Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.38 – 0.88
    →
  • Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.66 – 1.09
    →
  • Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.50 – 0.90
    →
  • Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.28 – 1.07
    →

Sunday, 14/03/2027

10 matches
  • Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.07 – 1.05
    Tight
    →
  • Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.10 – 1.34
    →
  • Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.39 – 1.17
    →
  • Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 0.87 – 1.49
    →
  • Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.19 – 1.01
    →
  • Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.10 – 1.89
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.43 – 1.49
    Tight
    →
  • Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.99 – 0.97
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 0.91 – 1.31
    →
  • Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.39 – 1.44
    Tight
    →

Sunday, 21/03/2027

10 matches
  • Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.78 – 0.99
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.41 – 1.20
    →
  • Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.40 – 1.04
    →
  • Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.34 – 0.90
    →
  • Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 0.93 – 1.24
    →
  • Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.71 – 1.05
    →
  • Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.18 – 0.98
    →
  • Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 2.56 – 1.17
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 2.15 – 0.72
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.27 – 1.16
    →

Sunday, 04/04/2027

10 matches
  • Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.00 – 1.34
    →
  • Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.00 – 1.44
    →
  • Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.66 – 1.01
    →
  • Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.55 – 1.27
    →
  • Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.49 – 0.84
    →
  • Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.22 – 1.10
    →
  • Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 0.98 – 1.72
    →
  • Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 0.86 – 1.48
    →
  • Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.48 – 1.02
    →
  • Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.75 – 1.40
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.