Bologna 0:3 Milan: xG & match report · Serie A

Tuesday, 03/02/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Bologna Home 0.45 xG · 13 shots

Milan Away 2.62 xG · 10 shots

03 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

20' Ruben Loftus-Cheek Milan · 0.32 xG chance 0–1
39' Christopher Nkunku (pen.) Milan · 0.82 xG chance 0–2
48' Adrien Rabiot Milan · 0.35 xG chance 0–3

The shots behind it

Bologna Milan

Shots: 13; 10
On target: 2; 7
Inside the box: 7; 10
xG per shot: 0.03; 0.28
Open play xG: 0.30; 1.98
Set-piece xG: 0.14; 0.00
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.45 for Bologna and 1.98 for Milan.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 3.24 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Bologna
Milan
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bologna

0.95 xG created 1.44 xGA

L 0.85 created, 2.93 conceded against Inter
L 1.10 created, 1.38 conceded against Atalanta
D 1.15 created, 0.84 conceded against Como
W 0.79 created, 1.20 conceded against Hellas Verona
L 1.31 created, 1.73 conceded against Fiorentina
L 0.50 created, 0.54 conceded against Genoa

Milan

1.57 xG created 1.40 xGA

W 0.70 created, 0.38 conceded against Cagliari
D 2.45 created, 1.32 conceded against Genoa
D 1.93 created, 1.90 conceded against Fiorentina
W 1.28 created, 1.87 conceded against Como
W 2.60 created, 0.17 conceded against Lecce
D 0.44 created, 2.75 conceded against Roma

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Bologna: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Milan 1:0 Bologna 14/09/2025 xG 1.00 – 0.17

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.