Samsunspor's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.
Showing 6 of 6 matching results
6 played this season
Results
- Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
- 1 win, 1 draw, 4 losses
4 pts 6–12 goals −6 GD
Chances
- Provider xG / xGA
- 6.92 – 9.16
- 1.15 – 1.53 per match
- xGD
- -2.24
- -0.37 per match
- xG record
- 1 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 4 against them
Comparable xG: 6 of 6 completed results.
Points vs xPts Model
4 pts 6.1 xPts
−2.1 vs xPts
Matched xPts: 6 of 6 selected results.
Model · How xPts works →Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.
Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.
What the results say
Season · All competitions · All venues
Samsunspor's poor return follows chances that have gone against them at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 2 of 6 matches, for −2.24 xG difference overall on 6.92–9.16. Their points total of 4 sits 2.1 below the model's 6.1 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results. The win against Çaykur Rizespor came with −1.52 xGD.
Points minus xPts, match by match
Over these 6 results Samsunspor are 2.14 points below their xPts.
- Points
- 4
- xPts
- 6.14
- Gap
- -2.14
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Points | xPts | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 17/08 | Göztepe | 1 | 2.08 | -1.08 | -1.08 |
| Sat 22/08 | Çaykur Rizespor | 3 | 0.27 | +2.73 | +1.65 |
| Sun 30/08 | Fenerbahçe | 0 | 0.46 | -0.46 | +1.19 |
| Sun 06/09 | Kocaelispor | 0 | 1.49 | -1.49 | -0.30 |
| Sat 12/09 | Çorum FK | 0 | 0.97 | -0.97 | -1.27 |
| Sun 20/09 | Erzurumspor FK | 0 | 0.87 | -0.87 | -2.14 |
Scores and xG
Samsunspor first
-
Match analysis →
Why this label · Erzurumspor FK, Sun 20/09
The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 0
- Post-match model xPts
- 0.87
- Points minus xPts
- -0.87
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated → -
Match analysis →
Why this label · Çorum FK, Sat 12/09
The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 0
- Post-match model xPts
- 0.98
- Points minus xPts
- -0.98
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated → -
Match analysis →
Why this label · Kocaelispor, Sun 06/09
The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 0
- Post-match model xPts
- 1.49
- Points minus xPts
- -1.49
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated → -
Match analysis →
Why this label · Fenerbahçe, Sun 30/08
The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 0
- Post-match model xPts
- 0.46
- Points minus xPts
- -0.46
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated → -
Match analysis →
Why this label · Çaykur Rizespor, Sat 22/08
The team won despite recording less xG than its opponent. That contrast does not make the win impossible or establish why it happened.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 3
- Post-match model xPts
- 0.28
- Points minus xPts
- +2.72
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated → -
Match analysis →
Why this label · Göztepe, Mon 17/08
The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 1
- Post-match model xPts
- 2.08
- Points minus xPts
- -1.08
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
Biggest overperformance
Çaykur Rizespor 2:0
· Away xG / xGA 0.33 – 1.85
- Goal difference
- +2
- xGD
- -1.52
- GD minus xGD
- +3.52
Among 6 comparable results.
Open match →
Biggest underperformance
Çorum FK 1:5
· Home xG / xGA 1.23 – 1.73
- Goal difference
- -4
- xGD
- -0.50
- GD minus xGD
- -3.50
Among 6 comparable results.
Open match →
Reading these results
xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
How each figure on this page is read
Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.
Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.