Expected goals
FC Farul Constanța expected goals (xG) 2026/2027
SuperLiga (Romania) · after 9 matches · updated 4 Oct
FC Farul Constanța's attacking and defensive expected goals in SuperLiga (Romania) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
FC Farul Constanța xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Universitatea Craiova | 2.45 |
| #2 | FCSB | 2.18 |
| #3 | FC Dinamo București | 2.17 |
| #4 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 1.99 |
| #5 | FC Botoșani | 1.99 |
| #6 | FC Universitatea Cluj | 1.98 |
| #7 | UTA Arad | 1.87 |
| #8 | FC Rapid București | 1.79 |
| #9 | FC Farul Constanța | 1.63 |
| #10 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | 1.61 |
| #11 | FC Voluntari | 1.53 |
| #12 | FC Petrolul Ploieşti | 1.34 |
| #13 | SC Oțelul Galați | 1.33 |
| #14 | Sepsi OSK | 1.19 |
| #15 | FC Argeș Pitești | 1.18 |
| #16 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 0.74 |
- League avg
- 1.69
- Total
- 14.67 9 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Universitatea Craiova | 1.11 |
| #2 | FC Rapid București | 1.12 |
| #3 | FC Dinamo București | 1.15 |
| #4 | FC Argeș Pitești | 1.21 |
| #5 | UTA Arad | 1.24 |
| #6 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | 1.49 |
| #7 | FC Farul Constanța | 1.68 |
| #8 | FC Universitatea Cluj | 1.70 |
| #9 | FCSB | 1.70 |
| #10 | Sepsi OSK | 1.73 |
| #11 | SC Oțelul Galați | 1.78 |
| #12 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 1.95 |
| #13 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 2.04 |
| #14 | FC Botoșani | 2.10 |
| #15 | FC Petrolul Ploieşti | 2.38 |
| #16 | FC Voluntari | 2.61 |
- League avg
- 1.69
- Total
- 15.13 9 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Universitatea Craiova | +1.34 |
| #2 | FC Dinamo București | +1.02 |
| #3 | FC Rapid București | +0.67 |
| #4 | UTA Arad | +0.63 |
| #5 | FCSB | +0.48 |
| #6 | FC Universitatea Cluj | +0.28 |
| #7 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | +0.11 |
| #8 | FC Argeș Pitești | -0.03 |
| #9 | CFR 1907 Cluj | -0.05 |
| #10 | FC Farul Constanța | -0.05 |
| #11 | FC Botoșani | -0.11 |
| #12 | SC Oțelul Galați | -0.45 |
| #13 | Sepsi OSK | -0.54 |
| #14 | FC Petrolul Ploieşti | -1.04 |
| #15 | FC Voluntari | -1.08 |
| #16 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | -1.22 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- -0.46 9 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Dinamo București | 2.04 |
| #2 | Universitatea Craiova | 2.03 |
| #3 | FC Rapid București | 1.78 |
| #4 | UTA Arad | 1.78 |
| #5 | FCSB | 1.59 |
| #6 | FC Universitatea Cluj | 1.55 |
| #7 | FC Farul Constanța | 1.45 |
| #8 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 1.43 |
| #9 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | 1.39 |
| #10 | FC Argeș Pitești | 1.37 |
| #11 | FC Botoșani | 1.34 |
| #12 | Sepsi OSK | 1.10 |
| #13 | SC Oțelul Galați | 1.09 |
| #14 | FC Petrolul Ploieşti | 1.06 |
| #15 | FC Voluntari | 0.81 |
| #16 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 0.55 |
- League avg
- 1.40
- Total
- 13.02 vs 14 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
Expected goals here are summed over 9 of 10 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.
What the xG says
FC Farul Constanța's underlying numbers sit close to the SuperLiga (Romania) average. They rank #10 for xG difference at -0.05 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 14 goals are 0.67 below 14.67 xG, while 13 points are 0.02 below 13.02 xPts — both over the 9 matches with xG. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
FC Farul Constanța are 0.67 goals below their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at -1.18, against FC Botoșani on Sun 30/08.
- Goals
- 14
- xG
- 14.67
- Gap
- -0.67
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 19/07 | FC Universitatea Cluj | 1 | 1.69 | -0.69 | -0.69 |
| Sat 25/07 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | 2 | 2.29 | -0.29 | -0.98 |
| Mon 03/08 | FCSB | 2 | 1.97 | +0.03 | -0.95 |
| Sat 08/08 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 3 | 1.21 | +1.79 | +0.84 |
| Fri 14/08 | FC Argeș Pitești | 1 | 1.05 | -0.05 | +0.79 |
| Sun 23/08 | Sepsi OSK | 1 | 0.72 | +0.28 | +1.07 |
| Sun 30/08 | FC Botoșani | 0 | 2.25 | -2.25 | -1.18 |
| Fri 11/09 | UTA Arad | 4 | 2.07 | +1.93 | +0.75 |
| Sun 20/09 | FC Dinamo București | 0 | 1.42 | -1.42 | -0.67 |
FC Farul Constanța xG trend
Current form -0.13 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 5 of 9 matches. The worst was against FCSB on Mon 03/08 (-2.32).
- npxG · last 6
- 1.45
- npxGA · last 6
- 1.58
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 19/07 | FC Universitatea Cluj | 1.69 | 0.95 | +0.74 | +0.74 |
| Sat 25/07 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | 2.29 | 0.40 | +1.89 | +1.32 |
| Mon 03/08 | FCSB | 1.97 | 4.29 | -2.32 | +0.10 |
| Sat 08/08 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 1.21 | 0.55 | +0.66 | +0.24 |
| Fri 14/08 | FC Argeș Pitești | 1.05 | 0.37 | +0.68 | +0.33 |
| Sun 23/08 | Sepsi OSK | 0.72 | 1.53 | -0.81 | +0.14 |
| Sun 30/08 | FC Botoșani | 2.25 | 2.32 | -0.07 | +0.11 |
| Fri 11/09 | UTA Arad | 2.07 | 1.98 | +0.09 | +0.11 |
| Sun 20/09 | FC Dinamo București | 1.42 | 2.74 | -1.32 | -0.05 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.63 npxG and 1.68 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- tied number 5 hardest of 16 in SuperLiga (Romania)
- +0.01 xG vs league average
- Over 10 league matches
- Last 5
- tied number 4 hardest of 16 in SuperLiga (Romania)
- +0.08 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
+0.01 xG vs league average · over 10 matches · tied number 5 hardest of 16
- FC Dinamo București Away +0.64
- UTA Arad Home +0.18
- CFR 1907 Cluj Away +0.13
- FC Botoșani Home −0.20
- Sepsi OSK Away −0.35
- FC Argeș Pitești Away −0.15
- FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc Home −0.69
- FCSB Away +0.29
- FC Corvinul Hunedoara Home +0.06
- FC Universitatea Cluj Away +0.20
Last 5
+0.08 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 4 hardest of 16
- FC Dinamo București Away +0.64
- UTA Arad Home +0.18
- CFR 1907 Cluj Away +0.13
- FC Botoșani Home −0.20
- Sepsi OSK Away −0.35
FC Farul Constanța shots and chance quality
Average volume, average quality. FC Farul Constanța take 14.6 shots a match (league 14.5) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #9 in SuperLiga (Romania) for volume and #8 for quality. 53% of their shots come from inside the box (league 60%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Universitatea Craiova | 19.2 |
| #2 | FC Dinamo București | 17.7 |
| #3 | UTA Arad | 17.4 |
| #4 | FCSB | 17.2 |
| #5 | FC Rapid București | 17.1 |
| #6 | FC Universitatea Cluj | 15.2 |
| #7 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 15.0 |
| #8 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | 14.8 |
| #9 | FC Farul Constanța | 14.6 |
| #10 | FC Petrolul Ploieşti | 13.2 |
| #11 | FC Argeș Pitești | 13.1 |
| #12 | FC Botoșani | 13.1 |
| #13 | FC Voluntari | 12.9 |
| #14 | SC Oțelul Galați | 12.7 |
| #15 | Sepsi OSK | 11.3 |
| #16 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 8.3 |
- League avg
- 14.5
- Total
- 131 shots from 9 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Botoșani | 0.15 |
| #2 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 0.13 |
| #3 | FC Universitatea Cluj | 0.13 |
| #4 | Universitatea Craiova | 0.13 |
| #5 | FCSB | 0.13 |
| #6 | FC Dinamo București | 0.12 |
| #7 | FC Voluntari | 0.12 |
| #8 | FC Farul Constanța | 0.11 |
| #9 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | 0.11 |
| #10 | UTA Arad | 0.11 |
| #11 | Sepsi OSK | 0.11 |
| #12 | SC Oțelul Galați | 0.11 |
| #13 | FC Rapid București | 0.10 |
| #14 | FC Petrolul Ploieşti | 0.10 |
| #15 | FC Argeș Pitești | 0.09 |
| #16 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 0.09 |
- League avg
- 0.12
- Total
- 14.67 npxG from 131 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Dinamo București | 10.4 |
| #2 | Universitatea Craiova | 10.7 |
| #3 | UTA Arad | 11.0 |
| #4 | FC Argeș Pitești | 11.5 |
| #5 | FC Rapid București | 12.8 |
| #6 | FC Farul Constanța | 13.6 |
| #7 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 14.3 |
| #8 | FC Universitatea Cluj | 14.6 |
| #9 | FCSB | 14.6 |
| #10 | SC Oțelul Galați | 15.8 |
| #11 | FC Botoșani | 15.9 |
| #12 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 16.3 |
| #13 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | 16.6 |
| #14 | Sepsi OSK | 16.9 |
| #15 | FC Petrolul Ploieşti | 18.4 |
| #16 | FC Voluntari | 18.8 |
- League avg
- 14.5
- Total
- 122 shots allowed from 9 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Rapid București | 0.09 |
| #2 | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | 0.09 |
| #3 | Sepsi OSK | 0.10 |
| #4 | Universitatea Craiova | 0.10 |
| #5 | FC Argeș Pitești | 0.11 |
| #6 | FC Dinamo București | 0.11 |
| #7 | SC Oțelul Galați | 0.11 |
| #8 | UTA Arad | 0.11 |
| #9 | FCSB | 0.12 |
| #10 | FC Universitatea Cluj | 0.12 |
| #11 | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 0.12 |
| #12 | FC Farul Constanța | 0.12 |
| #13 | FC Petrolul Ploieşti | 0.13 |
| #14 | FC Botoșani | 0.13 |
| #15 | FC Voluntari | 0.14 |
| #16 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 0.14 |
- League avg
- 0.12
- Total
- 15.13 npxGA from 122 shots
Shot profile
53% inside the box
League avg 60%
From 70 of 131 shots over 9 matches
Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.
64% allowed inside the box
League avg 60%
From 78 of 122 shots allowed over 9 matches
Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.
FC Farul Constanța home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 6 5 with xG |
| xG / match | 1.96 | 1.37 |
| xGA / match | 1.31 | 1.98 |
| xGD / match | +0.64 | -0.61 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 1.85 | 1.12 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every FC Farul Constanța match by xG
At home this season
- Matches
- 4
- xG / match
- 1.96
- xGA / match
- 1.31
- xGD / match
- +0.64
- Points
- 10 of 12
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
FC Farul Constanța in SuperLiga (Romania)
Attack
- xG / match #9 of 16
- Shots / match #9 of 16
- Chance quality #8 of 16
- Home xG #10 of 16
- Away xG #6 of 16
Defence
- xGA / match #7 of 16
- Shots allowed #6 of 16
- Chance quality allowed #12 of 16
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.