Saturday, 24/10/2026 at 17:00
19d 4h to kick-offFK Mladost Lučani – FK Vojvodina
Model updated 5 October, 12:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- FK Mladost Lučani
- 19%
- Draw
- 25%
- FK Vojvodina
- 56%
| FK Mladost Lučani | Draw | FK Vojvodina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 5.26 | 4.02 | 1.78 |
- Total goals
- 3.16
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%
- Both teams to score
- 65%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model leans FK Vojvodina
56% FK Vojvodina to win
- Attack
- 3rd vs 12th
- FK Vojvodina attack v FK Mladost Lučani defence
- Defence
- 5th vs 14th
- FK Vojvodina defence v FK Mladost Lučani attack
- Recent xG form
- +1.68 vs -0.79
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 1.16 – 2.00
- FK Mladost Lučani v FK Vojvodina
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | FK Mladost Lučani | FK Vojvodina |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | 1.08 · 12th | (better) 2.77 · 2nd |
| xGA / match | 2.11 · 12th | (better) 1.49 · 7th |
| xGD / match | -1.03 · 12th | (better) +1.28 · 2nd |
| xPts / match | 0.69 · 12th | (better) 1.93 · 2nd |
| Last 6 xGD / match | -0.79 | (better) +1.68 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 32% of the model's distribution.
- FK Vojvodina clean sheet
- 28%
- FK Vojvodina 2+ goals
- 62%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 37%
- Both teams to score: no
- 35%
Most likely scorelines
- 1:1
- 11.8%
- 1:2
- 11.4%
- 0:2
- 8.3%
Check your bookmaker's price
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How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- FK Mladost Lučani sample
- 20 matches
- FK Vojvodina sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · FK Mladost Lučani
- 2 matches
- Away xG sample · FK Vojvodina
- 3 matches
- Computed
- Monday, 05/10/2026 at 12:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.