Saturday, 07/11/2026 at 17:00
31d 19h to kick-offFK Vojvodina – FK Crvena zvezda
Model updated 6 October, 21:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- FK Vojvodina
- 33%
- Draw
- 27%
- FK Crvena zvezda
- 41%
| FK Vojvodina | Draw | FK Crvena zvezda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 3.07 | 3.74 | 2.46 |
- Total goals
- 3.32
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67%
- Both teams to score
- 71%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model leans FK Crvena zvezda
41% FK Crvena zvezda to win
- Attack
- 1st vs 5th
- FK Crvena zvezda attack v FK Vojvodina defence
- Defence
- 2nd vs 3rd
- FK Crvena zvezda defence v FK Vojvodina attack
- Recent xG form
- +1.45 vs +1.68
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 1.57 – 1.75
- FK Vojvodina v FK Crvena zvezda
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | FK Vojvodina | FK Crvena zvezda |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | 2.77 · 2nd | (better) 2.78 · 1st |
| xGA / match | 1.49 · 7th | (better) 0.98 · 1st |
| xGD / match | +1.28 · 2nd | (better) +1.80 · 1st |
| xPts / match | 1.93 · 2nd | (better) 2.36 · 1st |
| Last 6 xGD / match | (better) +1.68 | +1.45 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 30% of the model's distribution.
- FK Crvena zvezda clean sheet
- 18%
- FK Crvena zvezda 2+ goals
- 54%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 33%
- Both teams to score: no
- 29%
Most likely scorelines
- 1:1
- 11.8%
- 1:2
- 9.8%
- 2:1
- 8.7%
Check your bookmaker's price
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How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- FK Vojvodina sample
- 20 matches
- FK Crvena zvezda sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · FK Vojvodina
- 6 matches
- Away xG sample · FK Crvena zvezda
- 2 matches
- Computed
- Tuesday, 06/10/2026 at 21:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.