Expected goals
FC Sion expected goals (xG) 2026/2027
Swiss Super League · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct
FC Sion's attacking and defensive expected goals in Swiss Super League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
FC Sion xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Sion | 2.31 |
| #2 | Young Boys | 2.28 |
| #3 | Grasshopper Club Zürich | 2.01 |
| #4 | FC Luzern | 1.95 |
| #5 | FC St. Gallen 1879 | 1.95 |
| #6 | FC Lugano | 1.70 |
| #7 | FC Vaduz | 1.66 |
| #8 | FC Thun | 1.53 |
| #9 | Servette FC | 1.41 |
| #10 | FC Zürich | 1.38 |
| #11 | Basel | 1.22 |
| #12 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 0.85 |
- League avg
- 1.69
- Total
- 20.75 9 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Lugano | 1.26 |
| #2 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 1.37 |
| #3 | Basel | 1.39 |
| #4 | Young Boys | 1.41 |
| #5 | FC St. Gallen 1879 | 1.43 |
| #6 | FC Sion | 1.48 |
| #7 | Servette FC | 1.53 |
| #8 | FC Zürich | 1.93 |
| #9 | FC Vaduz | 2.00 |
| #10 | FC Luzern | 2.02 |
| #11 | Grasshopper Club Zürich | 2.18 |
| #12 | FC Thun | 2.23 |
- League avg
- 1.69
- Total
- 13.35 9 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Young Boys | +0.87 |
| #2 | FC Sion | +0.82 |
| #3 | FC St. Gallen 1879 | +0.51 |
| #4 | FC Lugano | +0.44 |
| #5 | FC Luzern | -0.08 |
| #6 | Servette FC | -0.12 |
| #7 | Basel | -0.17 |
| #8 | Grasshopper Club Zürich | -0.18 |
| #9 | FC Vaduz | -0.34 |
| #10 | FC Lausanne-Sport | -0.52 |
| #11 | FC Zürich | -0.55 |
| #12 | FC Thun | -0.70 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- +7.40 9 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Young Boys | 1.90 |
| #2 | FC Sion | 1.90 |
| #3 | FC St. Gallen 1879 | 1.71 |
| #4 | FC Lugano | 1.71 |
| #5 | FC Luzern | 1.36 |
| #6 | Servette FC | 1.30 |
| #7 | Grasshopper Club Zürich | 1.29 |
| #8 | Basel | 1.26 |
| #9 | FC Vaduz | 1.18 |
| #10 | FC Zürich | 1.12 |
| #11 | FC Thun | 1.00 |
| #12 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 0.94 |
- League avg
- 1.39
- Total
- 17.08 vs 19 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
What the xG says
FC Sion's underlying numbers are among the best in Swiss Super League. They rank #2 for xG difference at +0.82 per match, built on the league's best chance quality rather than about average shot volume. Their 23 goals are 2.25 above 20.75 xG, while 19 points are 1.92 above 17.08 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
FC Sion are 2.25 goals above their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at +3.53, against Grasshopper Club Zürich on Tue 15/09.
- Goals
- 23
- xG
- 20.75
- Gap
- +2.25
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 26/07 | Young Boys | 2 | 1.69 | +0.31 | +0.31 |
| Sun 02/08 | FC Luzern | 3 | 2.83 | +0.17 | +0.48 |
| Sun 09/08 | FC Vaduz | 3 | 2.81 | +0.19 | +0.67 |
| Sun 30/08 | FC Lugano | 1 | 1.82 | -0.82 | -0.15 |
| Thu 03/09 | Basel | 2 | 1.80 | +0.20 | +0.05 |
| Sun 06/09 | FC Thun | 3 | 2.78 | +0.22 | +0.27 |
| Sat 12/09 | FC St. Gallen 1879 | 3 | 1.26 | +1.74 | +2.01 |
| Tue 15/09 | Grasshopper Club Zürich | 5 | 3.48 | +1.52 | +3.53 |
| Sat 19/09 | FC Zürich | 1 | 2.28 | -1.28 | +2.25 |
Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →
FC Sion xG trend
Current form +0.75 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 5 of 9 matches. The worst was against FC Thun on Sun 06/09 (-0.48).
- npxG · last 6
- 1.98
- npxGA · last 6
- 1.24
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 26/07 | Young Boys | 1.70 | 1.76 | -0.06 | -0.06 |
| Sun 02/08 | FC Luzern | 2.83 | 0.51 | +2.32 | +1.13 |
| Sun 09/08 | FC Vaduz | 2.81 | 1.75 | +1.06 | +1.11 |
| Sun 30/08 | FC Lugano | 1.82 | 0.67 | +1.15 | +1.12 |
| Thu 03/09 | Basel | 1.80 | 0.94 | +0.86 | +1.07 |
| Sun 06/09 | FC Thun | 2.05 | 2.53 | -0.48 | +0.81 |
| Sat 12/09 | FC St. Gallen 1879 | 1.25 | 1.34 | -0.09 | +0.68 |
| Tue 15/09 | Grasshopper Club Zürich | 3.48 | 0.32 | +3.16 | +0.99 |
| Sat 19/09 | FC Zürich | 1.49 | 1.62 | -0.13 | +0.87 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.14 npxG and 1.27 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- number 7 hardest of 12 in Swiss Super League
- −0.01 xG vs league average
- Over 9 league matches
- Last 5
- number 11 hardest of 12 in Swiss Super League
- −0.11 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
−0.01 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · number 7 hardest of 12
- FC Zürich Home −0.27
- Grasshopper Club Zürich Away −0.32
- FC St. Gallen 1879 Away +0.47
- FC Thun Home −0.14
- Basel Away −0.28
- FC Lugano Home +0.33
- FC Vaduz Home −0.23
- FC Luzern Home −0.05
- Young Boys Away +0.42
Last 5
−0.11 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 11 hardest of 12
- FC Zürich Home −0.27
- Grasshopper Club Zürich Away −0.32
- FC St. Gallen 1879 Away +0.47
- FC Thun Home −0.14
- Basel Away −0.28
FC Sion shots and chance quality
Average volume, high quality. FC Sion take 16.6 shots a match (league 15.3) at 0.13 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #5 in Swiss Super League for volume and #1 for quality. 75% of their shots come from inside the box (league 68%), and set pieces produce 27% of their npxG (league 27%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC St. Gallen 1879 | 20.9 |
| #2 | Young Boys | 19.1 |
| #3 | FC Lugano | 16.9 |
| #4 | FC Luzern | 16.8 |
| #5 | FC Sion | 16.6 |
| #6 | FC Thun | 15.7 |
| #7 | Grasshopper Club Zürich | 15.4 |
| #8 | Servette FC | 14.3 |
| #9 | FC Vaduz | 14.1 |
| #10 | FC Zürich | 12.6 |
| #11 | Basel | 11.8 |
| #12 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 9.1 |
- League avg
- 15.3
- Total
- 149 shots from 9 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Sion | 0.13 |
| #2 | Grasshopper Club Zürich | 0.12 |
| #3 | FC Vaduz | 0.11 |
| #4 | Young Boys | 0.11 |
| #5 | FC Luzern | 0.11 |
| #6 | FC Zürich | 0.11 |
| #7 | FC Lugano | 0.10 |
| #8 | FC Thun | 0.10 |
| #9 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 0.09 |
| #10 | Basel | 0.09 |
| #11 | FC St. Gallen 1879 | 0.09 |
| #12 | Servette FC | 0.09 |
- League avg
- 0.10
- Total
- 19.23 npxG from 149 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Lugano | 11.8 |
| #2 | FC St. Gallen 1879 | 12.7 |
| #3 | FC Sion | 13.0 |
| #4 | FC Zürich | 13.9 |
| #5 | Young Boys | 14.0 |
| #6 | Servette FC | 14.3 |
| #7 | Grasshopper Club Zürich | 15.9 |
| #8 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 16.2 |
| #9 | FC Thun | 17.1 |
| #10 | Basel | 17.6 |
| #11 | FC Vaduz | 18.2 |
| #12 | FC Luzern | 18.6 |
- League avg
- 15.3
- Total
- 117 shots allowed from 9 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Basel | 0.08 |
| #2 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 0.08 |
| #3 | Young Boys | 0.10 |
| #4 | FC Sion | 0.10 |
| #5 | FC Lugano | 0.10 |
| #6 | FC Luzern | 0.10 |
| #7 | Servette FC | 0.10 |
| #8 | FC St. Gallen 1879 | 0.11 |
| #9 | FC Vaduz | 0.11 |
| #10 | FC Thun | 0.12 |
| #11 | Grasshopper Club Zürich | 0.13 |
| #12 | FC Zürich | 0.13 |
- League avg
- 0.10
- Total
- 11.44 npxGA from 117 shots
Shot profile
75% inside the box
League avg 68%
From 112 of 149 shots over 9 matches
Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.
70% allowed inside the box
League avg 68%
From 82 of 117 shots allowed over 9 matches
Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.
73% open play · 27% set pieces
League avg 27% set pieces
From 5.2 of 19.2 npxG over 9 matches
Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.
63% open play · 37% set pieces
League avg 27% set pieces
From 4.3 of 11.4 npxG allowed over 9 matches
Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.
FC Sion home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| xG / match | 2.50 | 2.06 |
| xGA / match | 1.50 | 1.47 |
| xGD / match | +1.01 | +0.59 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 2.04 | 1.73 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every FC Sion match by xG
This season
- Matches
- 9
- xG / match
- 2.31
- xGA / match
- 1.48
- xGD / match
- +0.82
- Points
- 19 of 27
- Sat 19/09 FC Zürich H xG 2.28 P xGA 2.22 P xGD +0.06 xPts 1.43
- Tue 15/09 Grasshopper Club Zürich A Best underlying xG 3.48 xGA 1.10 P xGD +2.38 xPts 2.68
- Sat 12/09 FC St. Gallen 1879 A xG 1.26 xGA 1.29 xGD -0.03 xPts 1.33
- Sun 06/09 FC Thun H xG 2.78 P xGA 2.33 xGD +0.45 xPts 1.67
- Thu 03/09 Basel A xG 1.80 xGA 0.94 xGD +0.86 xPts 2.05
- Sun 30/08 FC Lugano H Against the chances xG 1.82 xGA 0.67 xGD +1.15 xPts 2.27
- Sun 09/08 FC Vaduz H xG 2.81 xGA 1.75 xGD +1.06 xPts 2.06
- Sun 02/08 FC Luzern H xG 2.83 xGA 0.51 xGD +2.32 xPts 2.75
- Sun 26/07 Young Boys A Weakest underlying xG 1.69 xGA 2.54 P xGD -0.85 xPts 0.85
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.48. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
FC Sion in Swiss Super League
Attack
- xG / match #1 of 12
- Shots / match #5 of 12
- Chance quality #1 of 12
- Home xG #1 of 12
- Away xG #4 of 12
Defence
- xGA / match #6 of 12
- Shots allowed #3 of 12
- Chance quality allowed #4 of 12
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.