xgEdge

Expected goals

FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Ukrainian Premier League · after 5 matches · updated 1 Oct

FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ukrainian Premier League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.71 xG per match
#14/16
Attack (xG per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Metalist 1925 2.42
#2 Polissya Zhytomyr 2.19
#3 LNZ Cherkasy 2.10
#4 Karpaty Lviv 1.90
#5 Shakhtar Donetsk 1.88
#6 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1.86
#7 Dynamo Kyiv 1.81
#8 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.74
#9 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 1.36
#10 Kolos Kovalivka 1.34
#11 Zoria Luhansk 1.15
#12 Veres Rivne 0.94
#13 Kudrivka 0.86
#14 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0.71
#15 Obolon Kyiv 0.60
#16 Chornomorets Odesa 0.54
League avg
1.51
Total
3.56 5 matches
Defence
1.09 xGA per match
#5/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.68
#2 Metalist 1925 0.79
#3 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.92
#4 Dynamo Kyiv 0.94
#5 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 1.09
#6 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.17
#7 LNZ Cherkasy 1.26
#8 Chornomorets Odesa 1.30
#9 Zoria Luhansk 1.37
#10 Karpaty Lviv 1.59
#11 Kolos Kovalivka 1.69
#12 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 2.01
#13 Veres Rivne 2.06
#14 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 2.32
#15 Kudrivka 2.50
#16 Obolon Kyiv 2.79
League avg
1.51
Total
5.46 5 matches
xG difference
-0.38 xGD per match
#11/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Metalist 1925 +1.63
#2 Polissya Zhytomyr +1.51
#3 Shakhtar Donetsk +0.96
#4 Dynamo Kyiv +0.87
#5 LNZ Cherkasy +0.84
#6 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi +0.57
#7 Karpaty Lviv +0.30
#8 Bukovyna Chernivtsi -0.14
#9 Zoria Luhansk -0.22
#10 Kolos Kovalivka -0.34
#11 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv -0.38
#12 Chornomorets Odesa -0.76
#13 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih -0.96
#14 Veres Rivne -1.13
#15 Kudrivka -1.65
#16 Obolon Kyiv -2.19
League avg
0.00
Total
-1.90 5 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.01 xPts per match
#11/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Polissya Zhytomyr 2.29
#2 Metalist 1925 2.23
#3 Dynamo Kyiv 2.02
#4 Shakhtar Donetsk 2.01
#5 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.72
#6 LNZ Cherkasy 1.64
#7 Karpaty Lviv 1.58
#8 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1.38
#9 Zoria Luhansk 1.20
#10 Kolos Kovalivka 1.15
#11 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 1.01
#12 Veres Rivne 0.85
#13 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.83
#14 Chornomorets Odesa 0.74
#15 Kudrivka 0.54
#16 Obolon Kyiv 0.48
League avg
1.40
Total
5.04 vs 7 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 5 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 5 of 6 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Ukrainian Premier League. They rank #11 for xG difference at -0.38 per match, from low shot volume and low chance quality. Their 3 goals are 0.56 below 3.56 xG, while 6 points are 0.96 above 5.04 xPts — both over the 5 matches with xG. After only 5 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
3 3.56 -0.56 scored 0.56 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
2 5.46 -3.46 conceded 3.46 fewer than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
6 5.04 +0.96 0.96 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv are 0.56 goals below their xG after 5 matches. The gap was widest at -1.16, against Kudrivka on Sat 08/08.

Goals
3
xG
3.56
Gap
-0.56
Sat 08/08 Sat 29/08 Fri 04/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.16 -0.53 -0.87 -1.10 -0.56 -1.16 +0.63 -0.34 -0.23 +0.54 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 08/08 Kudrivka 0 1.16 -1.16 -1.16
Sat 29/08 Karpaty Lviv 1 0.37 +0.63 -0.53
Fri 04/09 Chornomorets Odesa 0 0.34 -0.34 -0.87
Sun 13/09 Polissya Zhytomyr 0 0.23 -0.23 -1.10
Sat 19/09 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 2 1.46 +0.54 -0.56

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv xG trend

Current form -0.36 npxGD per match

All 5 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 2 of 5 matches. The worst was against Polissya Zhytomyr on Sun 13/09 (-1.22).

npxG · last 5
0.73
npxGA · last 5
1.09
-2 -1 0 +1 +0.49 Sat 08/08 -1.05 Sat 29/08 -0.13 Fri 04/09 -1.22 Sun 13/09 +0.11 Sat 19/09 -0.36 season avg
FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 08/08 Kudrivka 1.16 0.67 +0.49 +0.49
Sat 29/08 Karpaty Lviv 0.37 1.42 -1.05 -0.28
Fri 04/09 Chornomorets Odesa 0.34 0.47 -0.13 -0.23
Sun 13/09 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.33 1.55 -1.22 -0.48
Sat 19/09 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.47 1.36 +0.11 -0.36

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.73 npxG and 1.09 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 14 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
−0.14 xG vs league average
Over 6 league matches
Last 5
number 9 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
−0.03 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.14 xG vs league average · over 6 matches · tied number 14 hardest of 16

  1. FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi Away −0.22
  2. Polissya Zhytomyr Away +0.64
  3. Chornomorets Odesa Away −0.38
  4. Karpaty Lviv Home 0.00
  5. FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Away −0.18
  6. Kudrivka Home −0.70

Last 5

−0.03 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 9 hardest of 16

  1. FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi Away −0.22
  2. Polissya Zhytomyr Away +0.64
  3. Chornomorets Odesa Away −0.38
  4. Karpaty Lviv Home 0.00
  5. FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Away −0.18

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv take 10.0 shots a match (league 13.5) at 0.07 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #14 in Ukrainian Premier League for volume and #14 for quality. 54% of their shots come from inside the box (league 54%).

Attack

Shot volume
10.0 shots per match
#14/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Polissya Zhytomyr 20.3
#2 Metalist 1925 17.8
#3 Dynamo Kyiv 16.3
#4 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 16.0
#5 Shakhtar Donetsk 15.2
#6 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 14.3
#7 LNZ Cherkasy 13.8
#8 Kolos Kovalivka 13.6
#9 Karpaty Lviv 13.1
#10 Zoria Luhansk 13.0
#11 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 12.4
#12 Veres Rivne 11.2
#13 Chornomorets Odesa 10.3
#14 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 10.0
#15 Kudrivka 8.8
#16 Obolon Kyiv 8.3
League avg
13.5
Total
50 shots from 5 matches
Chance quality
0.07 npxG per shot
#14/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Karpaty Lviv 0.14
#2 Metalist 1925 0.14
#3 LNZ Cherkasy 0.13
#4 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0.12
#5 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0.12
#6 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.12
#7 Dynamo Kyiv 0.11
#8 Kudrivka 0.10
#9 Kolos Kovalivka 0.10
#10 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.10
#11 Zoria Luhansk 0.09
#12 Veres Rivne 0.09
#13 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.08
#14 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0.07
#15 Obolon Kyiv 0.07
#16 Chornomorets Odesa 0.05
League avg
0.11
Total
3.67 npxG from 50 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.6 shots per match
#7/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Shakhtar Donetsk 7.0
#2 Metalist 1925 7.3
#3 Polissya Zhytomyr 7.7
#4 Dynamo Kyiv 9.7
#5 LNZ Cherkasy 11.2
#6 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 12.1
#7 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 14.6
#8 Karpaty Lviv 14.9
#9 Zoria Luhansk 15.0
#10 Veres Rivne 15.6
#11 Obolon Kyiv 16.5
#12 Kolos Kovalivka 16.6
#13 Chornomorets Odesa 16.8
#14 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 17.3
#15 Kudrivka 18.2
#16 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 18.3
League avg
13.5
Total
73 shots allowed from 5 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.07 npxGA per shot
#1/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0.07
#2 Chornomorets Odesa 0.08
#3 Karpaty Lviv 0.09
#4 Zoria Luhansk 0.09
#5 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0.10
#6 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.10
#7 LNZ Cherkasy 0.10
#8 Dynamo Kyiv 0.10
#9 Kolos Kovalivka 0.10
#10 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.11
#11 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0.12
#12 Veres Rivne 0.12
#13 Metalist 1925 0.13
#14 Kudrivka 0.13
#15 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.13
#16 Obolon Kyiv 0.13
League avg
0.11
Total
5.47 npxGA from 73 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

54% inside the box

League avg 54%

From 27 of 50 shots over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

42% allowed inside the box

League avg 54%

From 31 of 73 shots allowed over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv home and away xG

FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home only 2 matches with xG Away
Matches 2 4 3 with xG
xG / match 0.77 0.68
xGA / match 1.05 1.12
xGD / match -0.28 -0.45
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.11 0.94

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
6 5 with xG
xG / match
0.71
xGA / match
1.09
xGD / match
-0.38
Points
7 of 18
  1. Sat 19/09 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi A xG 1.46 xGA 1.36 xGD +0.10
  2. Sun 13/09 Polissya Zhytomyr A Weakest underlying xG 0.23 xGA 1.55 xGD -1.32
  3. Fri 04/09 Chornomorets Odesa A xG 0.34 xGA 0.46 xGD -0.12
  4. Sat 29/08 Karpaty Lviv H xG 0.37 xGA 1.42 xGD -1.05
  5. Sat 15/08 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih A
  6. Sat 08/08 Kudrivka H Best underlying xG 1.16 xGA 0.67 xGD +0.49

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv in Ukrainian Premier League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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