xgEdge

SV Ried's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 7 of 7 matching results

7 played this season

7 available results · Last 10 requested

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses

8 pts 11–12 goals −1 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
13.73 – 12.22
1.96 – 1.75 per match
xGD
+1.51
+0.22 per match
xG record
3 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 4 against them

Comparable xG: 7 of 7 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

8 pts 9.8 xPts

−1.8 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 7 of 7 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 10 · All competitions · All venues

SV Ried's mixed record matches the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 7 matches, for +1.51 xG difference overall on 13.73–12.22. Their points total of 8 sits 1.8 below the model's 9.8 xPts, so the chances have slightly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 7 results SV Ried are 1.81 points below their xPts. The gap was widest at -2.86, against LASK on Fri 14/08.

Points
8
xPts
9.81
Gap
-1.81
Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Fri 14/08 Fri 21/08 Sun 30/08 Fri 11/09 Sun 20/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.67 -2.49 -2.86 -1.62 -2.33 -2.09 -1.81 -1.67 -0.82 -0.37 +1.24 -0.71 +0.24 +0.28 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
SV Ried: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 02/08 SC Austria Lustenau 1 2.67 -1.67 -1.67
Sun 09/08 SK Rapid Wien 0 0.82 -0.82 -2.49
Fri 14/08 LASK 0 0.37 -0.37 -2.86
Fri 21/08 Grazer AK 1902 3 1.76 +1.24 -1.62
Sun 30/08 TSV Hartberg 0 0.71 -0.71 -2.33
Fri 11/09 Red Bull Salzburg 1 0.76 +0.24 -2.09
Sun 20/09 Wolfsberger AC 3 2.72 +0.28 -1.81

Scores and xG

SV Ried first

  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Win backed by the chances

    xG 4.74

    xGA 1.77

    xGD +2.97

    4:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Wolfsberger AC, Sun 20/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.73
    Points minus xPts
    +0.27

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Draw against the chances

    xG 0.82

    xGA 1.56

    xGD -0.74

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Red Bull Salzburg, Fri 11/09

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.75
    Points minus xPts
    +0.25

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.67

    xGA 2.78

    xGD -1.11

    2:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · TSV Hartberg, Sun 30/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.71
    Points minus xPts
    -0.71

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.75

    xGA 1.24

    xGD +0.51

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Grazer AK 1902, Fri 21/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.77
    Points minus xPts
    +1.23

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.76

    xGA 2.32

    xGD -1.56

    1:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · LASK, Fri 14/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.37
    Points minus xPts
    -0.37

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.07

    xGA 1.77

    xGD -0.70

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Rapid Wien, Sun 09/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.82
    Points minus xPts
    -0.82

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Draw against the chances

    xG 2.92

    xGA 0.78

    xGD +2.14

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SC Austria Lustenau, Sun 02/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    2.67
    Points minus xPts
    -1.67

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest underperformance

SC Austria Lustenau 1:1

· Away xG / xGA 2.92 – 0.78

Goal difference
0
xGD
+2.14
GD minus xGD
-2.14

Among 7 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →