Sunday, 08/11/2026 at 14:30
34d 14h to kick-offTSV Hartberg – SC Rheindorf Altach
Model updated 5 October, 00:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- TSV Hartberg
- 31%
- Draw
- 33%
- SC Rheindorf Altach
- 35%
| TSV Hartberg | Draw | SC Rheindorf Altach | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 3.18 | 3.03 | 2.82 |
- Total goals
- 2.32
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42%
- Both teams to score
- 53%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model can't separate them
35% SC Rheindorf Altach to win
- Attack
- 9th vs 11th
- SC Rheindorf Altach attack v TSV Hartberg defence
- Defence
- 6th vs 12th
- SC Rheindorf Altach defence v TSV Hartberg attack
- Recent xG form
- -0.04 vs -0.62
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 1.12 – 1.20
- TSV Hartberg v SC Rheindorf Altach
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | TSV Hartberg | SC Rheindorf Altach |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | 1.01 · 11th | (better) 1.24 · 7th |
| xGA / match | 2.02 · 11th | (better) 1.33 · 5th |
| xGD / match | -1.01 · 10th | (better) -0.08 · 6th |
| xPts / match | 0.79 · 10th | (better) 1.42 · 5th |
| Last 6 xGD / match | -0.62 | (better) -0.04 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 36% of the model's distribution.
- SC Rheindorf Altach clean sheet
- 29%
- SC Rheindorf Altach 2+ goals
- 34%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 58%
- Both teams to score: no
- 47%
Most likely scorelines
- 1:1
- 17.1%
- 0:0
- 10.0%
- 1:2
- 9.4%
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How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- TSV Hartberg sample
- 20 matches
- SC Rheindorf Altach sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · TSV Hartberg
- 4 matches
- Away xG sample · SC Rheindorf Altach
- 4 matches
- Computed
- Monday, 05/10/2026 at 00:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.