Birmingham City 2:3 Hull City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 18/10/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Birmingham City Home 2.85 xG · 29 shots

Hull City Away 1.15 xG · 15 shots

23 The result went against the chances

Goals

11' Jack Robinson (o.g.) Hull City 0–1
27' Jay Stansfield Birmingham City · 0.29 xG chance 1–1
45' Regan Slater Hull City · 0.06 xG chance 1–2
90' Jay Stansfield (pen.) Birmingham City · 0.82 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
90' Joe Gelhardt Hull City · 0.20 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.

The shots behind it

Birmingham City Hull City

Shots: 29; 15
On target: 8; 8
Inside the box: 15; 10
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.10
Open play xG: 1.60; 1.43
Set-piece xG: 0.52; 0.07
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.11 for Birmingham City and 1.47 for Hull City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

44 shots · 4.44 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Birmingham City
Hull City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Birmingham City

1.13 xG created 1.13 xGA

L 0.83 created, 0.56 conceded against Leicester City
L 0.52 created, 0.49 conceded against Stoke City
W 2.41 created, 1.43 conceded against Swansea City
L 0.19 created, 2.13 conceded against Coventry City
D 1.47 created, 0.42 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
D 1.36 created, 1.74 conceded against Wrexham

Hull City

1.58 xG created 2.06 xGA

L 2.60 created, 3.49 conceded against Bristol City
D 1.61 created, 1.00 conceded against Swansea City
W 2.13 created, 1.07 conceded against Southampton
L 0.86 created, 2.82 conceded against Watford
D 1.82 created, 1.43 conceded against Preston North End
W 0.45 created, 2.52 conceded against Sheffield United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.