xgEdge

Saturday, 07/02/2026 at 13:30

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Match report · Championship

Derby County 1:2 Ipswich Town

Derby County Home 1.03 xG · 9 shots
Ipswich Town Away 1.27 xG · 14 shots
12 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 8' Lewis Travis (o.g.) Ipswich Town 0–1
  2. 68' Rhian Brewster (pen.) Derby County · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
  3. 77' Leif Davis Ipswich Town · 0.04 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Derby County Ipswich Town
Shots
9
14
On target
1
6
Inside the box
5
9
xG per shot
0.12
0.09
Open play xG
0.08
0.84
Set-piece xG
0.17
0.44
Penalties
1
0

Derby County's shots add up to 1.07 xG; the published figure is 1.03.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Derby County · Rhian Brewster · 68' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Ipswich Town · Wes Burns · 51' · No goal · 11 m · 0.40 xG Ipswich Town · Anis Mehmeti · 17' · No goal · 10 m · 0.31 xG Ipswich Town · Ivan Azón · 45' · No goal · 15 m · 0.13 xG Ipswich Town · Ivan Azón · 55' · No goal · 4 m · 0.10 xG Derby County · Matt Clarke · 84' · No goal · 12 m · 0.06 xG Ipswich Town · Jack Clarke · 6' · No goal · 8 m · 0.06 xG Ipswich Town · Chuba Akpom · 90' · No goal · 11 m · 0.05 xG Ipswich Town · Ivan Azón · 16' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Derby County · Rhian Brewster · 43' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Ipswich Town · Jack Taylor · 50' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Ipswich Town · Leif Davis · 77' · Goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Ipswich Town · Darnell Furlong · 21' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Derby County · Joe Ward · 47' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG Derby County · David Ozoh · 26' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Ipswich Town · Dara O'Shea · 17' · No goal · 8 m · 0.03 xG Derby County · Ben Brereton Díaz · 47' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Derby County · David Ozoh · 43' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Ipswich Town · Chuba Akpom · 85' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Derby County · Danny Batth · 35' · No goal · 15 m · 0.02 xG Derby County · Lewis Travis · 72' · No goal · 32 m · 0.02 xG Ipswich Town · Wes Burns · 56' · No goal · 24 m · 0.01 xG Ipswich Town · Lewis Travis · 8' · Goal · 6 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

23 shots · 2.34 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Derby County
  • Ipswich Town
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Derby County

1.39 xG created 0.90 xGA

  • W 1.22 created, 1.32 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • L 1.35 created, 1.00 conceded against Wrexham
  • W 1.76 created, 0.99 conceded against Preston North End
  • W 1.71 created, 0.89 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • D 0.29 created, 0.97 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • W 2.00 created, 0.23 conceded against Bristol City
Ipswich Town

1.79 xG created 0.98 xGA

  • W 1.14 created, 0.80 conceded against Coventry City
  • W 1.43 created, 1.08 conceded against Oxford United
  • W 2.86 created, 0.66 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • W 1.08 created, 0.67 conceded against Bristol City
  • L 1.98 created, 1.63 conceded against Sheffield United
  • D 2.23 created, 1.06 conceded against Preston North End

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Derby County: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.