Saturday, 25/10/2025 at 16:00
Full timeDerby County 1:0 Queens Park Rangers
Goals
- 10' Carlton Morris Derby County · 0.89 xG chance 1–0
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 12
- 6
- On target
- 4
- 1
- Inside the box
- 7
- 2
- xG per shot
- 0.14
- 0.06
- Open play xG
- 0.19
- 0.31
- Set-piece xG
- 1.45
- 0.02
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.68 for Derby County and 0.35 for Queens Park Rangers.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
18 shots · 1.98 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Derby County
- Queens Park Rangers
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
0.89 xG created 1.12 xGA
- L 0.34 created, 0.90 conceded against Preston North End
- D 0.64 created, 0.89 conceded against Wrexham
- D 1.81 created, 0.60 conceded against Charlton Athletic
- D 1.36 created, 1.06 conceded against Southampton
- L 0.25 created, 2.17 conceded against Oxford United
- W 0.95 created, 1.11 conceded against Norwich City
1.45 xG created 1.02 xGA
- W 1.33 created, 1.09 conceded against Stoke City
- D 2.17 created, 1.41 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
- D 0.80 created, 0.37 conceded against Oxford United
- W 0.48 created, 1.21 conceded against Bristol City
- L 1.87 created, 1.64 conceded against Millwall
- W 2.05 created, 0.40 conceded against Swansea City
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.