Saturday, 21/03/2026 at 13:30
Full timeDerby County 1:0 Birmingham City
Goals
- 43' Rhian Brewster Derby County · 0.06 xG chance 1–0
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 17
- 3
- On target
- 6
- 0
- Inside the box
- 10
- 2
- xG per shot
- 0.07
- 0.05
- Open play xG
- 0.84
- 0.06
- Set-piece xG
- 0.34
- 0.10
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.16 for Derby County.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
20 shots · 1.33 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Derby County
- Birmingham City
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.62 xG created 1.07 xGA
- L 0.65 created, 1.29 conceded against Watford
- L 3.27 created, 0.58 conceded against Hull City
- W 1.44 created, 0.65 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
- W 2.11 created, 0.74 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
- L 1.25 created, 1.45 conceded against Millwall
- W 1.00 created, 1.72 conceded against Portsmouth
0.83 xG created 1.12 xGA
- W 1.32 created, 1.40 conceded against Norwich City
- L 0.12 created, 1.21 conceded against Millwall
- L 0.61 created, 1.07 conceded against Middlesbrough
- L 0.32 created, 0.92 conceded against Charlton Athletic
- W 1.58 created, 0.37 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
- D 1.01 created, 1.74 conceded against Sheffield United
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.