Oxford United 1:1 Hull City: xG & match report · Championship

Friday, 03/04/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Oxford United Home 3.44 xG · 16 shots

Hull City Away 0.82 xG · 9 shots

11 Oxford United had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

4' Mohamed Belloumi Hull City · 0.15 xG chance 0–1
13' Cameron Brannagan (pen.) Oxford United · 0.82 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Oxford United Hull City

Shots: 16; 9
On target: 4; 2
Inside the box: 11; 6
xG per shot: 0.21; 0.09
Open play xG: 1.71; 0.34
Set-piece xG: 0.89; 0.48
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.65 for Oxford United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 4.24 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Oxford United
Hull City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Oxford United

1.25 xG created 1.17 xGA

L 1.46 created, 1.51 conceded against Stoke City
W 0.75 created, 1.04 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
W 1.74 created, 0.93 conceded against Preston North End
W 1.16 created, 0.45 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
D 1.34 created, 0.93 conceded against Charlton Athletic
L 1.07 created, 2.15 conceded against Southampton

Hull City

1.30 xG created 1.34 xGA

W 0.34 created, 1.02 conceded against Portsmouth
L 0.27 created, 1.54 conceded against Ipswich Town
L 2.51 created, 1.38 conceded against Millwall
W 1.54 created, 1.14 conceded against Wrexham
L 0.34 created, 2.28 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
W 2.77 created, 0.68 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Oxford United: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Hull City 3:2 Oxford United 17/08/2025 xG 1.91 – 1.02

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.