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Saturday, 07/03/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Derby County 2:1 Sheffield Wednesday

Derby County Home 2.11 xG · 13 shots
Sheffield Wednesday Away 0.74 xG · 7 shots
21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 11' Ben Brereton Díaz Derby County · 0.52 xG chance 1–0
  2. 17' Jerry Yates Sheffield Wednesday · 0.51 xG chance 1–1
  3. 45' Matt Clarke Derby County · 0.09 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Derby County Sheffield Wednesday
Shots
13
7
On target
4
3
Inside the box
8
4
xG per shot
0.16
0.10
Open play xG
1.88
0.58
Set-piece xG
0.24
0.16
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.11 for Derby County and 0.74 for Sheffield Wednesday.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Derby County · Ben Brereton Díaz · 14' · No goal · 8 m · 0.54 xG Derby County · Ben Brereton Díaz · 11' · Goal · 17 m · 0.52 xG Sheffield Wednesday · Jerry Yates · 17' · Goal · 5 m · 0.51 xG Derby County · Bobby Clark · 84' · No goal · 15 m · 0.30 xG Derby County · Rhian Brewster · 24' · No goal · 5 m · 0.21 xG Derby County · Matt Clarke · 64' · No goal · 5 m · 0.13 xG Derby County · Patrick Agyemang · 62' · No goal · 11 m · 0.12 xG Derby County · Ben Brereton Díaz · 66' · No goal · 11 m · 0.12 xG Sheffield Wednesday · Dominic Iorfa · 2' · No goal · 8 m · 0.10 xG Derby County · Matt Clarke · 45' · Goal · 7 m · 0.09 xG Sheffield Wednesday · Jamal Lowe · 60' · No goal · 25 m · 0.04 xG Derby County · Joe Ward · 38' · No goal · 30 m · 0.03 xG Sheffield Wednesday · Jerry Yates · 41' · No goal · 31 m · 0.03 xG Derby County · Lewis Travis · 75' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Sheffield Wednesday · Charlie McNeill · 10' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Derby County · Derry Murkin · 44' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Sheffield Wednesday · Svante Ingelsson · 79' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Derby County · Sammie Szmodics · 16' · No goal · 45 m · 0.02 xG Derby County · Ben Brereton Díaz · 21' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Sheffield Wednesday · Dominic Iorfa · 34' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

20 shots · 2.85 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Derby County
  • Sheffield Wednesday
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Derby County

1.53 xG created 0.84 xGA

  • W 2.00 created, 0.23 conceded against Bristol City
  • L 1.03 created, 1.27 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • W 0.80 created, 1.00 conceded against Swansea City
  • L 0.65 created, 1.29 conceded against Watford
  • L 3.27 created, 0.58 conceded against Hull City
  • W 1.44 created, 0.65 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
Sheffield Wednesday

0.52 xG created 1.72 xGA

  • L 0.34 created, 0.90 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • L 0.06 created, 1.87 conceded against Swansea City
  • L 0.92 created, 1.92 conceded against Millwall
  • L 0.16 created, 1.96 conceded against Sheffield United
  • L 0.49 created, 1.83 conceded against Norwich City
  • L 1.15 created, 1.84 conceded against Southampton

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Derby County: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.